Wednesday, October 21, 2015

Week 7 Predictions


Seattle Seahawks (2-4) at San Francisco 49ers (2-4)
Thursday Night Football is kicking off with a division fight between a couple teams struggling to find their identity, as the Legion of Doom for the Seahawks has been surrendering leads in the fourth quarter and the 49ers are struggling to even stay in the game that long. Now over the last couple weeks the 49ers have looked better. They stayed in the fight with the Giants and beat the Ravens, but those are two teams that have not shown any punishment to their opponents like the Cardinals and Packers have who destroyed the 9ers.
The Seahawks are coming off a tough loss to the Panthers, as Greg Olsen and the Panthers offense made a great comeback. This game will be decided by the quarterbacks play. Between Kaepernick and Wilson, whoever gets more space to make plays and run the ball will be the one to come out of top. We will see if the 49ers learned anything from how well the Panthers contained Wilson. I expect a close game till some last second mistakes where the Seahawks win 27-20.  
Buffalo Bills (3-3) at Jacksonville Jaguars (1-5)
EJ Manuel looked pretty good filling in for the injured Taylor. The Bills were playing the unbeaten Bengals and were not able to contain Dalton and that unstoppable Bengal offense. But now they are taking on the Jaguars. Bortles was impressive in his loss last week, with turnovers being his weakness. Trust me the Bills with be looking to rebound defensively and will force a bunch of those. The Bills are expected to win by 5.5 and I don’t think that will be an issue for them. I would bench Bortles if you got him on your fantasy team and put in the Bills for your defense position looking forward to a low scoring and hi turnover game. Bills take it 23-13.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-5) at Washington Redskins (2-4)
Bucs and Redskins, these are two teams that feel like I am at the slot machine. They either have a good week, or a terrible one, but you never know which side is going to show up on the field. I think the Redskins have done a good job to keep things close in their matchups at least. With a spread of 3.5 favoring Washington it is a tough game to call. Since I think Washington has better defense, I bet they will be able to force young Winston to make a mistake or two that will be game deciding, as Washington wins, but doesn’t cover the spread. Redskins 24-21. 
Atlanta Falcons (5-1) at Tennessee Titans (1-4)
The Falcons made critical mistakes in the redzone in their loss to the Saints on Thursday Night Football last week. Coming off ten days rest, I bet the Falcons come in with a good game plan in order to avoid such errors yet again. The Titans just got smoked and Mariota got a bit dinged up. He is still playing but it will most likely be a painful experience out on the field for him. Falcons are favored by 4.5 and should take it by plenty more. With Freeman and Jones leading the offense with Ryan, I don't think the Titans defense can slow down Atlanta. I bet this one will be over by the end of the third quarter as the Falcons win 38-23.
New Orleans Saints (2-4) at Indianapolis Colts (3-3)
The Colts were suppose to be the team to beat this year. Everyone was putting their money on them in Vegas, including me before the season started. Now I am not saying that the Colts wont get the elevens wins they were expected to get, but after seeing such a joke special teams play against New England it seems the Colts don't have interest in winning. They know how to beat their division, as they are 19-2 against the AFC South since Andrew Luck was drafted in 2012. But they are also 19-19 against non-divisional teams, which the Saints are. The Colts will need to come into this game more prepared and ready to stay in it the whole game instead of just the last drive effort they showed us Sunday.
Questions were risen about Brees and if he would be able to play this year after suffering the arm issue is week two. Well Brees has done a great job coming back and staying with his team fighting through the injury and beating the division rival last week. Now the Saints did catch a lot of breaks, as the Falcons turned it over just yards away from another six points multiple times. The Colts need a win in order to keep their look as a strong contending team, look for a Luck to Hilton for multiple TDs type game if your into that FanDuel stuff. The Colts are favored by 4.5, and while I do think they will end up grabbing the win look for it to be a closer finish. Colts 31-28.
Minnesota Vikings (3-2) at Detroit Lions (1-5)
The Lions got their first win in overtime last week beating Cutler and the Bears. But don't get to excited cause the Vikings aren't easier. I think Peterson is going to have a great day on the ground, while Bridgewater gets some great yardage. The Vikings are only favored by 2.5, but with Stafford issues I don't think they will have anything to worry about as long as they don't continuously turn the ball over. Lions fans are excited about their teams first victory, but they will be disappointed again this Sunday with the Vikings winning 24-14.
Pittsburgh Steelers (4-2) at Kansas City Chiefs (1-5)
Landry Jones came into the game last week and saved the Steelers as they pulled off their upset defeating the Cardinals. With Big Ben still beat up and now Vick with hamstring issues, Jones is set to go again looking to Brown and Bryant to be open for some more long TD passes. The Steelers are expected to take this by two points, as Bell may be held back by the Chiefs good run defense, but their injured secondary has been revealed in each of their loses since week one. 
1-5 is not the start anyone saw for the Alex Smith and the Kansas City Chiefs, as I would be picking them to finally get another win if Charles was healthy and out on the field. But we saw last week in their loss to the Vikings that they will struggle offensively with Charles absence. I am going to go with Sooners QB Jones and the Steelers 27-17.  
Cleveland Browns (2-4) at St. Louis Rams (2-3)
The Rams are coming off a needed bye after they got blown out by the Packers, that wasn't based on an Aaron Rodgers performance. It was more the fact that the Rams kept handing the ball over, as the Packers defense scored some points as well. McCown has done a great job keeping the Browns in games in the recent weeks, as they fell by three to the Chargers on game ending drive, overcame the Ravens by three, and fell to the Broncos in overtime. A spread of 5.5 favoring the Rams is far to much, as if the Rams were to win they wouldn't take it by more than three. I think the Browns will be able to pull this one off though. As long as they don't turn it over a bunch, Browns will take it 24-20.
Houston Texans (2-4) at Miami Dolphins (2-3)
Hoyer and Hopkins are coming off a great week in the Texans win over the Jaguars, while the Dolphins beat up another week team in their win over the Titans. Both of these teams seem to be slacking defensively this season, as Watt and Clowney have not lived up to expectations and Suh has not been living up to that huge contract he received from Miami. This game will be decided by which QB steps it more between Hoyer and Tannehill. A lot of expectations were put on Tannehill coming into the season, but besides the 38 points the Dolphins got last week, they have not be very impressive. With a spread of 4.5 favoring the Dolphins, I wouldn't take them to win by that amount, but I will say Dolphins even up their record with Dolphins 23-21 victory.
New York Jets (4-1) at New England Patriots (5-0)
The Patriots and Jets will be a great game, as we will see if this 4-1 Jets start is a fluke or not. The Jets have not beaten up the Patriots in New England since 2002. Since then Brady has had the upper hand and brought down the Jets in all but one game which was close. Fitzpatrick and the Jets want to be up Brady again, and if there is a good year to do it, I would say it would be now. The Patriots are undefeated with great offense coming from Brady, Edleman, and Gronk, but they have been facing nothing but poor defenses. The Jets are bringing the No. 1 ranked defense into New England this weekend. With that said, I will still take Brady over Fitzpatrick, but not by the expect nine points. Patriots win 31-27. 
Oakland Raiders (2-3) at San Diego Chargers (2-4)
Phillips Rivers is leading the league is passing, as he and Allen put up a bunch of yards becoming the first tema Rodgers and the Packers couldn't cover the spread against this season. The Raiders look a lot better this year, but I don't think Woodson and the Raiders defense can hold down the Chargers this week. Heading back into Qualcom, the Chargers should put on a good show taking this game against their AFC West rival and passing them in the standings. I see the Chargers and Raiders each making a few mistakes, but in the end a Chargers 27-20 win.
Dallas Cowboys (2-3) at New York Giants (3-3)
Cassel is taking the QB job over from Weeden, even though he had the third best completion percentage in the NFL. But since Romo had his injury, it hasn't been wise to pick the Cowboys, so why start now? I honestly don't think Weeden was the issue with the Cowboys, but we will see if Cassel is an improvement. Eli is coming off an embarrassing game, but he can't do that bad against a team with a depleted defense can he? We will see what new names are added to injury list for the Cowboys, as the Giants take this one 28-24.
Philadelphia Eagles (3-3) at Carolina Panthers (5-0)
The Panthers just made one of the toughest QBs to catch look rather pathetic in their win over the Seahawks. While Bradford has not looked to impressive all season, including his win over the Giants on Monday night. The Panthers have a bad history on primetime hours and got blown out by the Eagles last year. With this being a Sunday Night game, hopefully nerves don't get to Newton as he faces a team known for stopping the run and covering tightends. Newton may need to find a target other than Olsen, but I would look to their defense against interception machine Bradford to be the difference maker bringing them more than the expect three point win. Panthers 30-23.
Baltimore Ravens (1-5) at Arizona Cardinals (4-2)
The Cardinals are coming off a tough loss to the AFC North Steelers, now going against another AFC North team they are not going to let it happen again, especially to the Suggsless, 1-5 Ravens. Look for Peterson to cover Flacco's only target Steve Smith, while the Cardinals line holds Forrsett from making much of a difference. Palmer and the Cardinals are favored by a solid 7.5 points, normally I wouldn't support that, but I will go with the Cardinals for Monday Night Football as I see 30-21 Cardinals win.
Record 59-32
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