Wednesday, November 4, 2015

Week 9 Predictions


Browns (2-6) @ Bengals (7-0)
Dalton is coming off a late victory against the Steelers to take a solid four game lead in the division. Though the Bengals came away on top, they must have been frustrated with their performance. I am sure up against the beatable Browns defense Dalton will make sure that does not happen again. Look for a couple Green touchdowns and a good amount of yardage for the Bengals. The real story of this game though is McCown's shoulder injury and Manziel making the start. I feel like you never know what kind of performance you are going to get out him. Manziel could make this game really close, or turn the ball over a bunch making even more of a blow out. Either way I am still taking the Bengals, the only question left is if they will overcome the 11 point spread. Dalton will have a good game and Manziel will have to prove himself to keep up. I give it to Cincinnati 34-21.
Packers (6-1) @ Panthers (7-0)
Aaron Rodgers is coming off a tough loss throwing for only 77 yards and suffering the first loss for the Packers on the season. The Panthers had a good solid 23-6 lead over Luck and the Colts, but blew that lead and beat them in overtime thanks to a Keuchly interception. This is by far the game of the week as these two look to go into the playoffs as the number one seat in the NFC. Here is the thing, Rodgers is coming off a loss and when that happens he always comes back the next week and blows his opponent away. Now that wont be easy, with Short, Allen, and the rest of that Panthers defense, they could destroy Rodgers like Denver did. But I al going to side with Rodgers on this one, he may not blow away that Panthers defense, but he will get his team the win. Packers 23-20.
Redskins (3-4) @ Patriots (7-0)
New England is coming off a blow out victory against the red hot Dolphins and are going in to face the off and on Redskins. Washington lost by 14 to the Jets a few weeks back and that just happens to be the spread this week favoring the Patriots. If New England can force Cousins to make some mistakes they should easily cover that spread. With Edleman, Gronk, and Lewis there for Brady I expect them to at least put up 30 points. The question is if they can hold back the Redskins offense. Brady will keep his team undefeated and bring home a 35-20 Patriots win. 
Titans (1-6) @ Saints (4-4)
The Saints had a poor start to the season, but have been really hot coming off a great win over the Giants. Brees was very impressive packing up yards and throwing seven TDs. The Titans won in week one, but have not been able to do anything since, suffering Mariota issues along with other keys players on both sides of the ball. The Saints are favored by 8, but with it being a home game an all the Saints should blow them out. Expect Bress to find receivers for a good amount of yards again leading to a 27-16 Saints victory.
Dolphins (3-4) @ Bills (3-4)
Taylor is listed probable for the Bills, as they are coming off the bye getting ready to take on the division rival Dolphins. Dolphins just got smoked and they are about to go take on another tough team to beat, especially on the road. Look for defense to play a big role in this one, with turnovers deep in the redzone making the difference in this one. The Dolphins are most likely lacking the confidence after last weeks matchup, which is why I am gonna agree with the spread and go Bills 20-17.
Rams (4-3) @ Vikings (5-2)
The Vikings are looking good with their record this season, but when you look who they've beaten it isn't as impressive. They took out the Chargers who are having an off year, the Chiefs who also have been struggling, the Bears who can be counted on, and then the Lions twice and we all know they are a joke. All together the teams they have beaten have a total of seven wins through eight weeks. The Rams will give them more of a challenge. Both teams have good defenses and great running games with Peterson and Gurley. This game will be decided on who will be clutch on third downs on both sides of the ball. The Vikings are favored by 2.5 points, but I am going to take St. Louis on this one. I see a Rams win 24-23.
Jaguars (2-5) @ Jets (4-3)
Jets have lost two straight and are in a tough predicament. Fitzpatrick is dealing with a thumb injury now and Geno Smith didn't look very impressive against the Raiders taking a lot of big hits and even needing to come out of the game for a few plays. It looks like Geno will be starting this week and that isn't an offense I would want to trust. The Jets are still favored by six points, and I don't give it to them by that much but I do think their defense will be enough to overcome the young Bortles offense of Jacksonville. Jets win 17-14.
Raiders (4-3) @ Steelers (4-4)
The Raiders have been a surprise this year, as Carr has been very impressive these past couple weeks with seven TDs and no picks. The Steelers on the other hand may have just gotten their QB back, but they just lost their star running back Le'Veon Bell for the season. Williams is a strong backup, but I think the Raiders are coming into this with a lot of confidence and determination in what could be a big difference maker on who gets in the playoffs wildcard spots. The Raiders do have to travel across country however and with the absence of Bell look for Roethlisberger to look for Miller, Brown, Bryant, or Wheaton more often. If Woodson can get in the way I would give it to the Raiders, but that is a lot of targets to cover which is why I am going to go Steelers. They are favored by 4.5, but I am only giving it to Pittsburgh 27-24.  
Giants (4-4) @ Buccaneers (3-5)
Eli Manning had a great game against the Saints that lead to just a disappointing loss, while Winston lead his team to a great win over division rival Falcons. Both teams have offenses to be proud of, but both a serious slacking on the defensive side of the game. The Giants are favored 2.5 points in this matchup and as long as Manning avoids throwing all those picks he is known for, they should be able to bring that win home. This one could really go either way, but I will take the Giants 33-27.
Falcons (6-2) @ 49ers (2-6)
Big story in this matchup is Colin Keapernick getting benched and Gabbert getting the start at QB for San Francisco. The Falcons defense has definitely declined since the early weeks of the season, so this should be a good chance for Gabbert to show the 9er fans what he can do. Like last week, the Falcons are favored by seven points. They couldn't come through against Tampa, but the 9ers should not be much of a challenge. I expect Ryan to find Jones a few times against the 9ers poor secondary and Gabbert will make a couple mistakes leading to a Falcons 20-14 win.
Broncos (7-0) @ Colts (3-5)
Colts almost came back against the Panthers on Monday night, but they made their trade with Green Bay and are now taking on the undefeated Broncos. Peyton is heading into his old home coming off a great week and looks to keep it going with his new tight-end Vernon Davis. Luck has issues getting sacked and hit all season and Denver is going to bring it. Denver is favored by 4.5 but I think they will do better than that. Don't count on a late Colts comeback this week, look for the Broncos to apply the pressure and burry Indy. Broncos win 26-17.
Eagles (3-4) @ Cowboys (2-5)
You want to know how bad the Cowboys QB situation is? Get this, Romo has not played since his injury in week two, but he still leads the team in passing TDs. Now I get they have had both Weeden and Cassel take snaps, but the two of them only total what Romo did in week one with three TDs over the last six weeks. Its is obvious that you just can't take the Cowboys. Now the Eagles are coming off the bye, meaning Kelly has had two whole weeks to get his team ready. Hopefully for their sake Bradford turns out to function a little more than usual. Eagles are favored by 2.5 and I bet they make it a 28-24 Philadelphia win.
Bears (2-5) @ Chargers (2-6)
San Diego just lost their main target Allen for the season. That will be a tough blow for Rivers and the already slumping Chargers, as Gates, Floyd, and Johnson will need to make a bigger difference. The Bears are a team I feel I can never trust. With Forte dinged up it means you have to rely on Cutler. Now That is something I can never do. Every time I look to Cutler, the game is full of picks and thrown away passes. The Chargers are favored by four points, which may be a little much as I do expect a close game. Look for late turnovers to be the deciding factor in the Chargers 23-21 win.
Record 76-43
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