Wednesday, December 4, 2019

NFL Season 100!! Week 14 predictions: Mahomes vs. Brady, an AFC duel we've been waiting for

Boy Week 13 was the week of upsets! I called for four of them, but the underdogs had a solid 9-7 record, including some big spread upsets with the Bills, Dolphins, and Redskins victories. The spreads this week seem to be staying a bit lower, with a good amount of them at three or lower. But we have some good sized ones in there too, as the Packers and Vikings are heavy favorites this week. The game I am looking at most though, is the Chiefs trip to New England with Patrick Mahomes and Tom Brady going at it again, as one offense looks unstoppable right now and the other is having their issues.

The Chiefs are coming off a big win, laying waste to the Oakland Raiders 40-9, the funny thing is the Raiders had all the leaders in offense categories as it was really the turnovers that killed Derek Carr and handed Mahomes the short field situations. Mahomes only had 175 passing yards and the Chiefs offense didn't even total 100 rushing yards, as the two defensive touchdowns sure helped when it came to totaling 40 points. The Patriots on the other hand had a tough night in Houston as like the Raiders, the Patriots had better yardage numbers across the board but still fell by six points. Sunday Night Football made sure to show Brady's frustration as he seemed upset with his receivers. I wish this matchup was a primetime game too, as I expect a great battle between these two who are battling for playoff positioning. With all those upsets last week, I went 10-6. I was able to predict some, but not all of them. I mean the Redskins, Bengals, and Dolphins all winning in the same week?! I mean come on. But that makes me 119-72-1 on the season, here are the predictions for Week 14.
Thursday, December 5th

6-6 Dallas Cowboys (-3, -155) vs. 6-6 Chicago Bears (+3, +135)

Those Cowboys can't seem to beat anyone with a positive record, favored by seven and they still dropped it at home against the Buffalo Bills. Luckily for them, the Bears have an even record and are not known for their consistency. Trubisky looked good and got the win against Detroit, but that was against a bad secondary and third string QB. The Cowboy's consistency will out do Chicago's and keep them on top on the NFC East.
Prediction: Cowboys 24-20  
Sunday, December 8th

10-2 Baltimore Ravens (-5.5, -260) vs. 9-3 Buffalo Bills (+5.5, +220)

Buffalo has a great defense. They can shut down the run and their secondary is not fooled easily. But I don't think anyone can stop Lamar Jackson right now, that guy can seem to slip threw anything and get that needed first down. The key to this one will be mistakes and I expect Allen will make one or two more than the Ravens offense. It will be interesting to see how much of a factor weather plays in this one, but I am taking Baltimore to cover.
Prediction: Ravens 27-21

3-9 Washington Redskins (+13, +600) vs. 9-3 Green Bay Packers (-13, -900)

The Redskins have impressed me, Haskins is making plays and they are getting down the field with big gains catching many by surprise. This is a very large spread and though the Packers just topped the New York Giants by plenty, I think this one will be closer. Rodgers will still have fun finding Adams and his new favorite target Lazard for some deep touchdowns, but the Packers defense will be giving up plenty as well. A high scoring game, but the Redskins cover.
Prediction: Packers 31-23

4-8 Denver Broncos (+9.5, +375) vs. 8-4 Houston Texans (-9.5, -475)

Houston just got a big momentum boost taking down the Patriots. The Broncos though have done a great job this year keeping games close, as we have seen them take some heartbreakers. Watson and Hopkins gave us a great show with their big plays, as their offense came together well. I think we will see that again at home against Denver, it the Broncos offense I have in question. I liked Lock's performance, they came away with the win, but can they do enough against Houston? I think the Broncos will cover but come up short yet again on the big scoreboard.
Prediction: Texans 28-20

10-2 San Francisco 49ers (+3, +140) vs. 10-2 New Orleans Saints (-3, -160)

The 10-2 matchup between the 49ers and Saints. This is going to be a good one, as the Saints have won the division and want to hold onto the bye seat. While the 49ers just lost the #1 seat in the NFC and need to stay even with the Seahawks for the division fight. You have two good offenses here, but the difference will be the 49ers defense. Bosa is going to have a blast against the Saints beat up offensive line. Though I think they should be favored anyway, 49ers get the upset here.
Prediction: 49ers 26-23

1-11 Cincinnati Bengals (+8.5, +340) vs. 5-7 Cleveland Browns (-8.5, -410)

The Bengals finally got their first win! I am sure many of their fans are relieved, as they now get to take on their rival from up state. The Browns offense couldn't come up with enough, yet again, but I think they will have more fun in this one. Mayfield should be able to find Landry and Beckham for some nice plays against the Bengals secondary. I only wonder if the Browns defense can do enough to cover. With the amount of turnovers I am used to the Browns giving up, I would take the Bengals with the +8.5.
Prediction: Browns 25-21 

5-7 Carolina Panthers (+2.5, +120) vs. 3-9 Atlanta Falcons (-2.5, -140)

The Panthers made a big decision this week, head coach Ron Rivera has been canned after four straight loses and I am honestly surprised to see him go. Newton called it a big blow, but it always seems the new coach somehow inspires his team or just simply gets lucky in their first game. I would say the Flacons are the right team to pull that off against. They had their couple good weeks, but have slipped back into the slump now. The Panthers linebackers should hold Freeman and put good pressure on Ryan. While McCaffrey looks to get more done after their disappointing loss tot he Redskins. Though it is a small spread, I give the upset to Carolina.
Prediction: Panthers 23-21

3-8-1 Detroit Lions (+14, +650) vs. 8-4 Minnesota Vikings (-14, -1000)

David Blough didn't look to bad in his first appearance against Chicago. That 75 yard TD pass to start it off was entertaining and I am sure a big confidence boost for him. But if the Lions still got outscored by Trubisky, they are going to get killed by the Vikings. Cousins is going to find Diggs and his targets for a lot of yards and I bet anytime it seems the Lions are slowing down the pass game, that is when Cooks will take off for a 3o yard run. A large spread, but I give this one to Minnesota by a bunch.
Prediction: Vikings 34-16 

3-9 Miami Dolphins (+5.5, +210) vs. 4-8 New York Jets (-5.5, -250)

DeVante Parker was a beast against the Eagles! 159 yards and two TDs, no one would have predicted that coming from the Dolphins offense. Now this week Miami does play a team with a better secondary, but I am going to go for it and say the Dolphins put it together again against the Jets. The Bengals just had a good day on offense against New York, so I bet Fitzpatrick can too. Sam Darnold's skills seemed to have disappeared last week and after the pressure Wentz went through against Miami I bet Darnold struggles again.
Prediction: Dolphins 24-23 

6-6 Indianapolis Colts (+3, +160) vs. 5-7 Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-3, -180)

The Bucs offense is looking great, Evans and Godwin are getting the yards and Winston wishes he played like this all season. The Colts are coming off a tough loss, but they have not lost the division like Tampa has and have more to do now sitting one game behind the Titans and two behind the Texans. Though I think the Bucs offense will be more effective, I bet that Colts defense can get Winston to get back to his former ways with a turnover or two. Indy is more desperate and pulls of the upset here.
Prediction: Colts 30-26

4-8 Los Angeles Chargers (-3, -150) vs. 4-8 Jacksonville Jaguars (+3, +130)

Minshew is starting again, thank god. Watching Foles was driving me nuts, as the Jaguars offense couldn't seem to get anything going, then we saw Minshew come in and they were able to put up some points. This week they get to take on a Chargers offense that is good one quarter and terrible the next, as they can't seem to come through for their fans at all late in games. I expect a good amount fo points from both sides, with a slow fourth quarter that raises the suspense, but a win at home for Jacksonville.
Prediction: Jaguars 29-27

8-4 Kansas City Chiefs (+3, +130) vs. 10-2 New England Patriots (-3, -150)

This game should be exciting, we got the Chiefs great offense and the Patriots amazing defense meeting up. I really want to see a Chiefs victory in this one, but I doubt that will happen. Dropping two in a row is something Brady won't let happen, being at home with the weather they know and that defense that will keep Mahomes favorite targets covered will bring the Patriots the win. Kelce and Hill will need to escape coverage often, we saw Hopkins pull that off a few times, but I bet the offenses will be playing in tougher situations than the Patriots saw in the covered stadium in Houston.
Prediction: Patriots 28-24

7-5 Pittsburgh Steelers (-2.5, -145) vs. 3-8-1 Arizona Cardinals (+2.5, +125)

Devlin Hodges is filling in well winning both games in his couple starts on the season, not that he deserves all the credit as that Steelers defense has been a big piece to their seven wins and current seat in the playoffs. Though they will be facing that good Steelers defense, the Cardinals can't put up a worse offensive performance than they did against the Rams. Murray will put together a few plays, but still get dragged down a few times against Watt. Steelers cover this one in a close win on the road.
Prediction: Steelers 24-21 

7-5 Tennessee Titans (-2.5, -145) vs. 6-6 Oakland Raiders (+2.5, +125)

The Raiders can't seem to put anything together right now, first getting killed against the Jets and then getting blown away again by the team they were trying to catch in the division. I have no faith in the Raiders being able to outscore anyone right now. The Titans have been impressive, those special teams plays they pulled off and the strength of their offense has been amazing. Though they will have to deal with the Raiders fans, the Titans win this one easily.
Prediction: Titans 33-21

10-2 Seattle Seahawks (-2.5, -145) vs. 7-5 Los Angeles Rams (+2.5, +125)

The Seahawks now hold the lead in the NFC West and the first seat in the NFC after their impressive win against the Vikings and the 49ers loss to Baltimore. They will make sure to hold onto that while visiting the Rams. Though the Rams looked great against Arizona, they will have a whole new type of team to beat on Sunday night. Wilson may have a bit less time against Aaron Donald and the Rams defense, but that guy seems to always find a way this year. I am taking Seattle to cover this one.
Prediction: Seahawks 27-23
Monday, December 9th

2-10 New York Giants (+8.5, +340) vs. 5-7 Philadelphia Eagles (-8.5, -410)

Wow, that Eagles secondary looks terrible. Everybody can put up the big yards and runaway with the game against them right now. How did they stop and beat Aaron Rodgers?? He just made the Giants secondary look like a joke as well in the snow. This game will come down to Wentz and Manning, yeah he is back, which ever QB can keep putting the plays together and get his team down the field. The Giants are eliminated, but if they can get a good game from Barkley I think they can do the Cowboys a big favor. The Eagles can't lose another one like this, especially will Manning taking the snaps if they want to stay in the race, so I seriously doubt they cover but do slip away with this one.
Prediction: Eagles 31-30

-Tom Franich

Tuesday, November 26, 2019

NFL Season 100!! Week 13 Predictions: Possible Super Bowl preview in Baltimore?

We have some good toss ups this week, from the NFC North game that gets Thanksgiving started between the Bears and Lions, to Monday Night Football between the NFC Wildcard leading Seahawks and Vikings. There may be a couple that look like blowouts as well, but those large spreads may end up closer than we think. Some of the favorites of the week actually surprise me, as I expect to see a few upsets this week.

The game that will be getting the most focus though is the 49ers vs. Ravens game. They look like the to hottest teams in the league right now, as Brady and the Patriots appear to be having offensive issues. I believe the battle in Baltimore can be a preview for all NFL fans on what may go down on Feb. 2nd. The 49ers have done an amazing job shutting QBs down, including Aaron Rodgers most recently. The only QB who has gotten the best of them is the mobile Russel Wilson. While Lamar Jackson has shown his mobility, breaking records already when it comes to combined pass and rush yards by a QB. The Ravens defense silenced Goff, Gurley, and the Rams with ease. Though both these teams just scored a bunch of points, I actually expect a low scoring game decided by which defense slips first. I went 11-3 last week, making me 109-66-1 on the season, here are this weeks predictions.

Thursday, November 27th

5-6 Chicago Bears (-2.5, -140) vs. 3-7-1 Detroit Lions (+2.5, +120)

There has been a lot of doubt in Trubisky, I mean you can't blame them he has been having a bit of a rough time. But he looked rather good against the Giants secondary in the Bears win last week. On the short week, I expect Stafford will remain out. So Mack and the Bears defense gets to rush Driskel, which I bet they will have fun with. Like New York, Detroit's secondary is not very impressive, so Trubisky will have another opportunity to change critics minds.
Prediction: Bears 20-15 

8-3 Buffalo Bills (+7, +270) vs. 6-5 Dallas Cowboys (-7, -330)

Ok first upset of the week. A full seven point spread, are you kidding me? The Cowboys are winless against teams with a winning record this year. Their offense appears to have no motivation and I have no faith in any of their players being able to come up with a big play at the moment. I do in Allen though, those deep passes to hit Brown in the endzone have been impressive. Sorry Cowboys fans, but the Bills have more to fight for when it comes to making the playoffs with the Eagles, Giants, and Redskins posing very little threat in the NFC East.
Prediction: Bills 24-20

9-2 New Orleans Saints (-7, -330) vs. 3-8 Atlanta Falcons (+7, +270)

Atlanta sure had a tough time with the Buc's pass game and now they get to face Brees and Thomas again. They enjoyed sacking Brees and coming away with the win on Week 10, the question is if they will be able to display those skills again after their tough loss. The Saints on the other hand are coming off a motivating win, slipping away by three points over the Panthers. They now hold a bye in the playoffs and will look to keep it that way. Seven points may be a bit much, but after some studying of what went wrong before the Saints should take this one.
Prediction: Saints 27-21

Sunday, December 1st

8-3 Green Bay Packers (-6.5, -300) vs. 2-9 New York Giants (+6.5, +250)

The Packers are looking to redeem themselves after their embarrassing loss on primetime. Well that shouldn't be to much of a challenge against the Giants and their defense that can make an QB look like an MVP. Barkley has been disappointing recently, but the Packers don't have a very good defense either, so this is a good chance for him to get things rolling again. I was expecting a bigger spread, so the Packers should cover after a couple passes to Adams leading to them still holding the lead in the NFC North.
Prediction: Packers 31-17 

2-9 Washington Redskins (+10, +400) vs. 5-6 Carolina Panthers (-10, -500)

The Panthers are angry, they just dropped one they should not have. Had Slye made that late kick they could of come away with the win over the Saints. The Redskins on the other hand should be very happy with their win, as they look to add a third on the season. I doubt that happens though. This is the only large spread I agree with, as Allen and McCaffrey will find plenty of ways around the Redskins defense leading to a good amount of points.
Prediction: Panthers 38-13

10-1 San Francisco 49ers (+6, +220) vs. 9-2 Baltimore Ravens (-6, -260)

Here is the big one. I can't wait to see what these two teams bring to the table. Those defenses are amazing, shutting down opposing offenses with pressure on the QB and held up lines that are like a wall to the RB. The difference in this one will be Jackson's ability to escape the pressure. Bosa and the Niners bring a lot of it, so Jackson will probably get sacked a few times, but this game shouldn't have to many points in it. Six points is to much for a spread, but I expect the Ravens to slip away with it. A rematch in February would be great, as these teams met each other the last time they were both int he Super Bowl.
Prediction: Ravens 21-20

6-5 Tennessee Titans (+2.5, +125) vs. 6-5 Indianapolis Colts (-2.5, -145)

The Titans have found their groove, as Henry and Tannehill are putting up a good amount of points. Indy on the other hand has been struggling offensively with some injuries on that side of the ball. Both of these teams sit one game behind the Texans for the AFC South lead, so this should be a good fought battle. But I am calling for upset number two, as the Titans have confidence and strong momentum right now. I just hope Vrabel doesn't make any bad decisions.
Prediction: Titans 24-21

5-6 Philadelphia Eagles (-9, -420) vs. 2-9 Miami Dolphins (+9, +350)

The Eagles are having a rough time and not just on the field. They have some many big injuries its is straight up crazy, then all the social media drama that is just so unnecessary. I will admit, Fitzpatrick has impressed me with his late offensive efforts. Now they have not all paid off, but he still has made games more interesting recently. I believe the Dolphins will come up short yet again, but not by a full nine points.
Prediction: Eagles 23-18 

6-5 Oakland Raiders (+9.5, +375) vs. 7-4 Kansas City Chiefs (-9.5, -475)

The Raiders are coming off a tough one and now have an important battle in front of them. A win ties them with the Chiefs in the AFC West, the question is though if they can hold off Mahomes. Especially after Darnold laid waste to their secondary. I bet the Raiders come into this one looking to put a good fight, Gruden will probably say something to get his boys hyped. But this offensive duel will end with a Chiefs win. Both of these teams poor defenses and Mahomes will remind us of his skills in this one. Nine and half points is a large spread, as the Raiders will make sure they don't get blown out back-to-back weeks. Chiefs take it, but don't cover.
Prediction: Chiefs 30-23

4-7 Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+1, +100) vs. 4-7 Jacksonville Jaguars (-1, -120)

Time for upset number three, I mean this is the smallest spread of the week, but I have no idea how they expect the Jaguars to keep up against Godwin, Evans, and Winston. The Jags would need to force a few turnovers to keep up in this game, not that that isn't impossible but the guy who was known for doing that is on the West Coast now. I think Winston will show us another good passing game, finding his two favorite targets for some big yards and a lot of points.
Prediction: Buccaneers 32-21

4-7 New York Jets (-3.5, -185) vs. 0-11 Cincinnati Bengals (+3.5, +165)

The Jets offense has woken up and become a real threat. The Bengals just can't seem to face anyone at the right time this year. Darnold has done a good job to use all his targets, hitting Crowder a lot early in the season and now showing us guys like Anderson for big plays. I am honestly surprised this spread wasn't a little bigger yet, but I guess the Bengals should win one at some point. It won't happen this week though. Jets will cover this after a few plays from Bell and Darnold.
Prediction: Jets 28-14

6-5 Los Angeles Rams (-3, -180), vs. 3-7-1 Arizona Cardinals (+3, +160)

Here is upset number four. The Rams are in shock, their so called great defense couldn't stop Jackson once. Now they get to take on another QB who is good at avoiding pressure in Kyler Murray. The Cardinals are coming off the bye and end the Rams hopes of making the playoffs. The Rams won't get blown out again of course, but this should be a good back and forth battle. The Cardinals have the best record against the spread and with enough quick passes and run game they will take this one late.
Prediction: Cardinals 27-24

4-7 Los Angeles Chargers (-2.5, -140) vs. 3-8 Denver Broncos (+2.5, +120)

Here are two teams you just can't trust to come through for you when you need them to. This one is actually the toughest one for me to pick on the week, as Rivers has his good days and bad days while Allen has looked well better for Denver. I think the difference here will be Bosa and that Chargers defense. The Chargers are going to be applying more of a pressure than Denver will and that will end up being the difference. Both of these teams are already pretty much out of the picture, but Rivers has got more to play for at this point in his career.
Prediction: Chargers 27-17

5-6 Cleveland Browns (-2, -130) vs. 6-5 Pittsburgh Steelers (+2, +110)

Upset number five will be here in Pittsburgh. Hodges has already been announced the starter, as he showed us he deserves it will his performance last week. Rudolph just didn't have it, missing passes everywhere possibly having a hard time after his drama against these Browns a couple weeks ago. With Garrett and Rudolph both off the field, hopefully we get a clean competitive game between these AFC North rivals. The Steelers currently hold the last playoff seat in the AFC, as Cleveland wants to take it from them. At Heinz Field though, I think the Steelers defense will come through and get some big turnovers to win this one.
Prediction: Steelers 24-23 

10-1 New England Patriots (-3, -170) vs. 7-4 Houston Texans (+3, +150)

This will be a good one. As I mentioned earlier the Patriots offense appears to be struggling, but their defense should be able to keep Watson rather quiet. I expect a low scoring game where a turnover makes all the difference. I believe New England's defense will be the one that forces that difference maker late, as Brady knows how to take care of the ball compared to Watson. Hopkins will be well covered and we have seen Houston to have a really tough time putting up points when that is the case this season. A close one, but the Patriots take it on defense just like their victory over Dallas.
Prediction: Patriots 21-17 

Monday, December 2nd

8-3 Minnesota Vikings (+3, +135) vs. 9-2 Seattle Seahawks (-3, -155)

This is a big game, these two teams currently hold playoff seats and are still int he hunt to catch their division leaders. I think this one will mean more to Seattle though, they are one game behind SF but have the win over them. The 49ers meet Lamar Jackson and the Ravens, so this is the Seahawks chance to take the division lead in the NFC West. The Vikings have the same record as the Packers, but lost to them earlier this year and Green Bay meets the Giants, so they can't put to much hope into grabbing the lead on Week 13. Wilson will be the difference maker, as both teams will apply pressure, but Wilson can do more to escape and make a play still. I think he will outplay Cousins and get his team the W.
Prediction: Seahawks 31-27

-Tom Franich

Wednesday, November 20, 2019

NFL Season 100!! Week 12 Predictions: Top two in the NFC face off, who will hold the #1 seat after Week 12?

Wow, that is the mindset Lamar Jackson and the Ravens have put me in after their destruction of the Houston Texans. I expected a well fought out battle between the two teams, but it was a 41-7 blow out. We have already seen these Ravens give the Patriots their one and only loss, these guys seem to have an answer everything since their Week 3&4 losses to the Chiefs and Browns. I hope to see Lamar meet Brady yet again in the playoffs, as that will be a great show to earn the spot to meet the opposing top NFC team in the Super Bowl.

Looking at Week 12, we may see the potential NFC Championship matchup on Sunday Night Football down in Santa Clara between the Packers and 49ers. The Packers are coming off the bye, so they should be a bit more on the healthy side with the receivers and secondary players they have been lacking in games, such as the Week 9 loss against the Chargers. They are headed to California for the second time this year, as they will take on the top team in the NFC. The 49ers are coming off their impressive comeback against their division foe Cardinals, beating them late in the game for the second time in three weeks. The upcoming game is the first step to a tough finish to the regular season for the 49ers, as they get to prove themselves to wrap up the season. Starting with the Packers, the 49ers then get a potential Super Bowl matchup against the Ravens, then Saints, all of a sudden hot Falcons, rival Rams, and finally the one team that has beaten them in Seattle to close out the regular season. The 49ers have a tough battle ahead to keep the #1 seat in the NFC and even the division lead, Sunday Night's game will be a great show at Levi's Stadium. Below are the Week 12 predictions, I went 12-2 last week and am 98-63-1 on the season.
Thursday, NOV. 21st, 8:20 PM ET

6-4 Indianapolis Colts (+3.5, +165) vs. 6-4 Houston Texans (-3.5, -185)

Week 12 starts off with an AFC South duel between the top two teams tied for the lead in the division. Brissett brought some positive life back to Indy, as the Colts hand some even offense rushing and passing to keep their opponents confused. However that got extinguished when Mack's hand got broken. With the much better run game now, I am liking Watson and the Texans. They just got destroyed, but I believe will have a good bounce back. Brissett will see a lot of pressure, as he will need to get used to no Hilton and Mack out there will him. Texans money line is the way to go on this one.
Prediction: Texans 23-20 
Sunday, NOV. 24th, 1:00 PM ET

3-7 Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+4.5, +190) vs. 3-7 Atlanta Falcons (-4.5, -225)

The battle for the bottom seat in the NFC South. The Falcons made some changes in the coaching department and now they are scoring like crazy. Yet you have two of the top receivers on the year playing for Tampa against a beaten up Atlanta secondary. This will be a high scoring battle, as the Buc's defense has not impressed anyone on the season either. The Falcons will continue their hot streak and take advantage of the normal mistakes we see coming from Tampa's offense. Matt Ryan is crawling up that career passing yards list and will make a good dent Sunday.
Prediction: Falcons 41-35

3-7 Denver Broncos (+4.5, +185) vs. 7-3 Buffalo Bills (-4.5, -225)

You look at these two teams and see something rather similar. Two defenses that don't allow, grab the sacks, and are good at holding teams to field goals. But on the other hand, they both have offenses that you can't really count on and not many players fantasy players own. The big difference here is their records, one is 7-3, while the other is 3-7. Denver can't seem to hold on to games late in the game. We just saw them blow it again against the Vikings, so with that factor and the fact that the Bills are in the playoff hunt I take Buffalo.
Prediction: Bills 17-12  

2-8 New York Giants (+6, +250) vs. 4-6 Chicago Bears (-6, -300)

This one is a real toss up, as Trubisky may not be healthy with his hip, the Giants are coming off the bye, yet New York has dropped six straight and may be looking for a good draft pick instead at this point. The Bears defense has not been living up to their name, but that Giants line shouldn't be to tough to get through. Six points is to much though, take that +6 spread.
Prediction: Bears 18-13 

5-5 Pittsburgh Steelers (-7, -320) vs. 0-10 Cincinnati Bengals (+7, +260)

The Steelers needed this one with all the injuries they are going through. Juju and Conner look out, so I think this one will be more up to their strong defense. Fitzpatrick has been a big weapon since they acquired him, as the Steelers will pick apart that Cincy offense. The Bengals gave the Raiders a good fight, but they will come up short of that first win yet again.
Prediction: Steelers 23-17

2-8 Miami Dolphins (+10.5, +425) vs. 4-6 Cleveland Browns (-10.5, -550)

Well the negative drama sure surrounded the Browns and the Myles Garrett suspension last week. Their first game after all that crap shouldn't be to much of a challenge though. Baker has his newer weapon of Kareem Hunt with him in the backfield and their is no way that Dolphins defense can cover both Hunt and Chubb as well as Beckham and Landry. Miami may have a bit offense flowing for them, but they won't be able to keep up. 
Prediction: Browns 28-20

5-5 Carolina Panthers (+9.5, +375) vs. 8-2 New Orleans Saints (-9.5, -475)

The Panthers are coming off a week they want to forget and need to make a push against their big rival to stay alive in the playoff hunt. Expect to see some desperation in this one, McCaffrey will be going for big yards, but that is a loud stadium and fast defense to compete with. What really worries me though is the Panthers ability to contain Kamara, and Murray. The Saints offense will put this one away but late, don't believe in that large 9.5 point spread.
Prediction: Saints 27-23

6-4 Oakland Raiders (-3, -150) vs. 3-7 New York Jets (+3, +130)

A couple hot teams meeting up, as the Raiders have won three straight and the Jets are coming off back to back smack down wins. The Jets big scoring victories did make me go grab Crowder in fantasy, but they were against the defenses of the Giants and Redskins. The Raiders three wins though were all at home, by a single score, and they will now be on the east coast in a different timezone. This one is a real toss up, but the fight to catch those Chiefs and make the playoffs should step in as the big factor to make the Raiders lock this one up.
Prediction: Raiders 26-24

8-2 Seattle Seahawks (+2, +105) vs. 5-5 Philadelphia Eagles (-2, -125)

The Seahawks are headed over to Philly on the bye looking healthy and lead by their potential MVP. Wentz has been looking good, but not finding those deep third down targets like Wilson has. The early morning game will be a challenge for Seattle, but they will pull of this upset thanks to Wilson and his mobility on the third and shorts, then that amazing arm on third and long. It will be a back and forth game, but the Seahawks wrap it up shutting down the Eagles run game and make Wentz try to complete one of those big passes that he couldn't last week.
Prediction: Seahawks 28-24  

3-6-1 Detroit Lions (-3.5, -180) vs. 1-9 Washington Redskins (+3.5, +160)

Well this one isn't very interesting, you have two teams with bad defenses that are looking well out of the hunt. The difference is this game is offense. Stafford or no Stafford, Detroit will out score that sad Washington offense with ease. A few passes to Marvin Jones and the Lions will take this one by more than that 3.5 point spread.
Prediction: Lions 29-16
Sunday, NOV. 24th, 4:05 PM ET

4-6 Jacksonville Jaguars (+3, +145) vs. 5-5 Tennessee Titans (-3, -165)

Here is another tough one to pick. You have the Jaguars who are adjusting back to Foles and struggling on offense, while the Titans are a team where you never know what you are going to get thanks to Vrabel and his crazy decisions. Though I hate putting any hope in Vrabel, the Titans are coming off the bye and I really like Derrick Henry. Plus I have little more faith in their defense these days, as the Jags just surrendered 33 points tot he beat up Colts offense.
Prediction: Titans 24-17

6-4 Dallas Cowboys (+6.5, +230) vs. 9-1 New England Patriots (-6.5, -270)

Brady is worried about the offensive production of the Patriots, yet they are still the heavy home favorites. The Patriots have one hell of a defense, but those Cowboys have an offense that isn't easy to just take away. Dallas has multiple options, whether Zeke or Pollard is running the ball, to Cooper, Cobb, Gallup, Witten etc. for Dak to find down the field. Brady better figure that offense out and get the big numbers up again to take out Americas favorite team. I still need to stick with the Pats at home, but the reason is their defense. I have seen a bit of a lack of motivation coming from guys like Elliot and that Patriots defense will expose that and give them nothing. It will be close, but Pats take it at home.
Prediction: Patriots 23-21
Sunday, NOV. 24th, 8:20 PM ET

8-2 Green Bay Packers (+3, +140) vs. 9-1 San Francisco 49ers (-3, -160)

Sunday night is a big one, not only a potential NFC Championship preview, but this one can really make a difference on where teams finish in the standings. That #1 spot in the conference sure is valuable for Rodgers and Jimmy G. The Packers are looking healthy coming off the bye, while SF had their injury issues in their game against the Cardinals. Bosa and that 49ers D-Line will still end up being to much for the Packers. The Packers run game has been big for them, but they will run into a wall this week. A back and forth game for a bit, but all 49ers to end it.
Prediction: 49ers 27-24 
Monday, NOV. 25th, 8:15 PM ET

8-2 Baltimore Ravens (-3, -175) vs. 6-4 Los Angeles Rams (+3, +155)

This should be a good primetime match, the unstoppable Ravens offense meeting the Rams firm defense. With Matthews healthy and a secondary looking stronger, the Rams may have looked good holding the Bears to only seven points, but they have a whole different kind of challenge on their hands now. Aaron Donald is going to need to really quick to catch Lamar Jackson before he escapes down field for a first down if not a lot more. We saw him put that Texans defense to shame, it is going to be a real battle for LA to keep up with him. I am glad Gurley got a lot more touches and was a big piece to the offense last week, the Rams will need him to have a big game to score enough points to win this one at home. The Ravens look to be to hot on both sides of the ball right now though, the Rams just won't be able to put enough together, especially if they go through a turnover or two.
Prediction: Ravens 31-25  
Bye Weeks: Kansas City Chiefs, Minnesota Vikings, Arizona Cardinals, Los Angeles Chargers
-Tom Franich

Wednesday, November 13, 2019

NFL Season 100!! Week 11 Predictions: Watson vs. Jackson in a potential AFC playoff match

We have reached Week 11, as the games are getting more intense and harder to pick. We have three games with a spread in double digits, but in reality even those games could have surprising outcomes. With the Falcons, Dolphins, Jets, and Titans pulling off some big upsets, it is getting tough to trust the favored teams as we carry on to the later part of the season. Some teams such as the Patriots and Ravens appear to be escaping with their divisions already with their great records. But luckily we still have some good competition in most divisions, as the 8-2 Packers remain only a game in front of the Vikings, the Raiders are staying in the picture to catch the Chiefs, while the Eagles and Cowboys have a good battle going, and of course the Seahawks have shown us they can still compete for the division title with the 49ers.

The big game this week in my opinion is the mobile QB showdown we have in the early set of games between the visiting Texans and Ravens. The Texans are coming off the bye and look to be more healthy, but Lamar Jackson and the Ravens just showed us again their offense is not one easy to contain. The numbers Jackson has put up already in his early career are crazy, as he looks to be entering his name into the MVP contest. The Steelers win streak has put some pressure on Baltimore, while the Texans still look to stay ahead of the Colts in AFC South. These division leaders should give us a great show on Sunday, as Watson and Jackson will look to out do each other in both the pass and run game to achieve the win. My record is 86-61-1 on the year, here are my Week 11 picks and how you may want to go into the sports books thinking.
Thursday NOV. 14th @ 8:20 PM ET

5-4 Pittsburgh Steelers (+2.5, +125) vs. 3-6 Cleveland Browns (-2.5, -145)

The Steelers are hot, looking like contenders again and will be getting their RB Conner back. They have the much better coach and a defense that is not very forgiving. Mayfield will need a very clean game to keep up in this one. This is my easy upset pick, as that +125 money line looks really good.
Prediction: Steelers 23-17  
Sunday NOV. 17th @ 1:00 PM ET

5-4 Dallas Cowboys (-4.5, -210) vs. 3-5-1 Detroits Lions (+4.5, +185)

Fractures in the spine can't be any fun, though he has not been ruled out his "week to week" status makes me believe Stafford won't play again this Sunday and we will see Driskel taking the snaps. He had 269 passing yards against the Bears and I don't believe he will come up with enough offense against Dallas. The Cowboys offense has seemed to have very little motivation thanks to their coaching staff, but Dak should have a good time finding Cooper and Gallup against the Lions secondary. Cowboys cover the spread and have this one in the bag by the fourth quarter.
Prediction: Cowboys 31-23

4-5 Jacksonville Jaguars (+3, +130) vs. 5-4 Indianapolis Colts (-3, -150)

Foles is coming back and word is Brissett is going to return as well from his mild injury. This has honestly been one of the toughest divisions to predict, as these teams seem to like staying right around .500 with their records. The difference in this game will be the run game, both QBs are looking to get back in the groove and will need their RBs to do a good amount of work. The Colts can stand up to the run much better than Jacksonville. So I have to take the home team in this one, especially since Foles will need a bit more time than Brissett to get the hang of things again.
Prediction: Colts 23-17  

6-3 Buffalo Bills (-5.5, -250) vs. 2-7 Miami Dolphins (+5.5, +210)

The Dolphins have a winning streak! Props to them, but they won't be able to keep it going against the Bills defense. Buffalo is annoyed after dropping the game against Cleveland, it looked like they had wrapped it up with a defensive TD, only to see that taken away by the refs. The Bills are making a push for a playoff seat and won't let the Dolphins take it away from them. With some big sacks and a turnover or two, Buffalo has this in victory formation late in the 4th quarter.
Prediction: Bills 28-20

3-6 Denver Broncos (+10.5, +425) vs. 7-3 Minnesota Vikings (-10.5, -575)

The Vikings saw the Packers add their 8th win last week and while Green Bay is on the bye, they know they need to get their 8th as well. The Vikings offense and defense have both been clicking well and though Denver is known for a good defense, I think the Vikings have a better one. I do not expect a high scoring game, but like always this year will Denver I expect a close one. That 10.5 point spread is to large, as Denver will give the Vikings a good fight but like usual will drop it by a single score late.
Prediction: Vikings 24-17

7-2 New Orleans Saints (-5.5, -250) vs. 3-6 Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+5.5, +210)

Well the Saints sure got a wake up call, and now they go from the last place team in the division to the second to last place team visiting the Buccaneers. We have two big pass offenses that like to throw the long ball down the sidelines. Brees will need to be able to do that this week, as the Bucs have one of the best run defenses. The question is if he will have the time to find his targets unlike last week. I expect a much closer game than most predict, as this one will be decided by turnovers and sacks. Whoever can get to the QB more. I trust Brees much more than Winston, but I like the Bucs plus 5.5 spread, especially with Lattimore missing from the Saints secondary. Godwin and Evans will be easy targets.
Prediction: Saints 30-28

2-7 New York Jets (+1, +100) vs. 1-8 Washington Redskins (-1, -120)

The Redskins are coming off the bye and have home field advantage so they are the favorite with the smallest spread of the week. But when they can't seem to put up more than nine points it is hard to think they will win anything. Look for Crowder to put up some good yardage and a TD, if you are in need of a fantasy WR this week. The Jets add a third win to their record, as they see their first round draft pick get a bit less valuable.
Prediction: Jets 24-13

2-7 Atlanta Falcons (+6, +220) vs. 5-4 Carolina Panthers (-6, -260)

After seeing the Saints take the fall, the Panthers have their Week 11 opponent to thank for the hope that the NFC South is not fully out of reach yet. McCaffrey just came up short against the Packers in the end up at Lambeau, he is going to look to make sure that doesn't happen again this week. The Falcons defense came to life against the Saints, sack after sack as the Falcons impressed a lot fo us. The Panthers will study that and figure out how to get quick passes off to Moore, Olsen and McCaffrey and bring home the win. I would take that -260 money line though, as the Falcons have some momentum right now.
Predictions: Panthers 27-23 

6-3 Houston Texans (+4, +180) vs. 7-2 Baltimore Ravens (-4, -210)

I can't wait to watch this one, the Redzone better focus on it for me during the big line of early games. The Ravens have the best run game in the NFL, but Houston has a really good one as well. This game will come down to which offense can come through more frequently with the third down plays and keep possession of the ball. Nothing against Watson and Hopkins, but I can't go against Lamar Jackson and his ability to out run the defense for those extra few yards. This will be a good showdown, but the Ravens will take it thanks to their consistency.
Prediction: Ravens 31-27 
Sunday, NOV. 17th @ $;05-4:25 PM ET

3-6-1 Arizona Cardinals (+11.5, +500) vs. 8-1 San Francisco 49ers (-11.5, -700)

The 49ers lost some key pieces in their game against the Seahawks. With or without them, the 49ers are not gonna drop a second game in a row. Arizona had a little comeback against them on Halloween, but the 49ers defense are not going to give Murray a shot this time. They don't like seeing that loss on their record and will bring some heavy pressure and punishment this weekend. Still 11.5 point spread is a bit much, I would take the Cardinals with those bonus points.
Prediction: 49ers 34-24

0-9 Cincinnati Bengals (+10.5, +425) vs. 5-4 Oakland Raiders (-10.5, -550)

Out of the big double digit spreads, this is the only one that I think can be covered. The Bengals can't stop any offense, Jacobs, Waller, and Carr are going to have a good time. At home, in front of the Black Hole, the Bengals will make a good amount of mistakes that will only turn into more Raiders points. The 10.5 spread is big, but the Raiders should be able to cover it with Dalton probably on the bench and that terrible Cincy rush defense.
Prediction: Raiders 38-17 

8-1 New England Patriots (-3.5, -185) vs. 5-4 Philadelphia Eagles (+3.5, +165)

Brady is going to destroy the Philly secondary. Sanu has proven to be a new target he likes and the run defense is the Eagles strength, so don't expect to many handoffs. The Eagles will need a lot of sacks if they want to be able to come away with this one. If Brady has to much time, he will find Edelman or one of his receivers for the first down. That top Patriots defense will be another challenge, as Wentz can't turn that ball over to keep up in this one. To many factors swing in New Englands favor, they should lock this one up thanks to a late turnover.
Prediction: Patriots 30-24
Sunday, NOV. 17th @ 8:20 PM ET

4-5 Chicago Bears (+6.5, +250) vs. 5-4 Los Angeles Rams (-6.5, -300)

Before the season, if you looked this far into the schedule you would probably think this would be one of the biggest games of the regular season. Well it turned out not to be so exciting, as both of these teams have shown little inspiration in recent weeks. The Bears offense finally had some life against the Lions, but now Trubisky get to face Aaron Donald. Goff has had to rely on his pass game with little help from Gurley and the run game, but that has lead to a lot more turnovers and defeats thanks to plays such a the pick-6 we saw against the Steelers. In the end, this one will be close and 6.5 money line may be to much.
Predictions: Rams 20-17 
Monday, NOV. 18th @ 8:15 PM ET

6-4 Kansas Chiefs (-3.5, -185) vs. 4-6 Los Angeles Chargers (+3.5, +165)

Are you prepared for an offensive battle? Mexico City will get one on Monday night, as Mahomes is going to find Tyreek Hill for some big plays and Rivers is going to need to show us some good numbers with passes to Allen and Williams to keep this one interesting. The Chargers have a much better rush defense but unlike Rivers, Mahomes is mobile. This game is vital to both teams, as the Chargers want to make a push for a playoff seat and the Chiefs want to stay in front of Oakland. This game comes down to a late clutch play.
Prediction: Chiefs 34-30
Bye weeks: Green Bay Packers, New York Giants, Tennessee Titans, & Seattle Seahawks

-Tom Franich

Wednesday, November 6, 2019

NFL Season 100!! Week 10 Predictions: Current MVP versus the last undefeated team on MNF!

Week 9 sure was entertaining. Those underdogs showed everyone they have some game, as teams such as the Dolphins, Broncos, and Chargers came out on top against teams they weren't suppose to. However, the two I liked most were the Chiefs victory without Mahomes over the Vikings and the Ravens providing the Patriots with their first loss. Week 10 gives us some good matches too, as there are few spreads of three or less. Sunday Night Football between Dallas and Minnesota will be good, while the Giants and Jets meet, and the Chargers take on their division rival Raiders on Thursday night, all of which are tough picks.

But the best game will be on Monday Night, as the leaders of the NFC West face off. Potential MVP Russell Wilson and the Seahawks visit the undefeated 49ers who are getting a real test to keep that perfect record. Wilson leads the league with 22 touchdown passes, but what will he be able to do against that 49ers defense that is lead by 7 sacks Nick Bosa? Here are next weeks picks, as I am looking to bounce back from my 7-7 record last week and continue to add more wins to my 84-50-1 record on the season.
Thursday, NOV. 7th @ 8:20 PM ET

4-5 Los Angeles Chargers (-1, -120) vs. 4-4 Oakland Raiders (+1, +100)

The week gets started with a AFC West matchup, as both teams look to stay in the fight for a playoff spot. Catching the Chiefs may be a bit much, but that wildcard spot is not out of reach for either of these teams yet. These teams are rather opposite in my opinion. The Chargers offense isn't very reliable, but that defense is a weapon, as we just saw them put Rodgers and the Packers to shame. While the Raiders can't stop many teams pass game, but have an offense that can break through thanks to Jacobs. I have to take Joey Bosa and the defense in this one though, as Rivers does quietly lead the league in passing yards and with enough pressure Carr can be stopped.
Prediction: Chargers 20-17 

Sunday, NOV. 10th @ 1:00 PM ET

3-4-1 Detroit Lions (+3, +130) vs. 3-5 Chicago Bears (-3, -150)

The NFC North went 0-4 in Week 9, luckily we got the Bears hosting the Lions as the bottom two teams in the division both look to climb out of their slumps. The Bears have dropped four straight, while the Lions have lost four of their last five games. The Bears offense has been straight up sad, but this week they get to face one fo the leagues worst defenses. We will see if Trubisky can start to put some plays together and give some momentum for the Bears defense to live off of. Stafford has been looking good this season, hitting his targets and remaining among the league leaders in most passing categories. This one will come down to the Bears run game vs. the Lions pass game. Though I expect something more impressive than the nine yard first half performance the Bears had last week, I don't think they will be able to out do Stafford. A close one, but I'd take the +130 money line with Detroit.
Prediction: Lions 24-20

6-2 Baltimore Ravens (-10, -475) vs. 0-8 Cincinnati Bengals (+10, +375)

The Ravens are going from taking on the best to now the worst. The Bengals are the only team left with no wins and will now face Lamar Jackson who slipped his way through the Patriots defense to beat them by 17 points. We have the best run game in the NFL taking on the worst run defense so home field advantage, trying a different QB with Finley, and coming off the bye won't mean a thing. We have one of the week's largest spreads in this one, but Baltimore should cover easily.
Prediction: Ravens 33-10

6-2 Buffalo Bills (+3, +135) vs. 2-6 Cleveland Browns (-3, -155)

I am at a bit of a loss of words as to why the Browns are favored. I mean they are in a situation where they have to win, so the sport books may expect them to come through this week. But weren't they in the same scenario last week against Denver? I watched the Broncos break way to many tackles and make their way down field against the Browns defense all too easily. The Bills defense does not make those mistakes and Mayfield will have to earn this one. He does get his new weapon in Kareem Hunt for the first time this year, but I expect it takes them a game or two to get some real chemistry going. Bills +135 money line looks like a good bet.
Prediction: Bills 17-14

6-3 Kansas Chiefs (-3.5, -185) vs. 4-5 Tennessee Titans (+3.5, +165)

It seems we will see Mahomes taking the snaps this week while visiting Tennessee. With or without him though, the difference in this one will Tyreek hill out running that beat up Titans secondary. We have seen him make some big grabs and even race his teammates to endzone when they are carrying the ball. KC just need to focus on holding Derrick Henry back, as long as he doesn't break away fro a few 50+ yard runs the Titans will not be able to come up with enough points to out score the Chiefs.
Prediction: Chiefs 26-20

1-7 Atlanta Falcons (+12.5, +475) vs. 7-1 New Orleans Saints (-12.5, -650)

Dan Quinn is somehow still on the sideline. The Falcons are having a terrible season and now get to take on their main division rival on the road. I expect Quinn will not be holding onto his job much longer, as Brees and Jordan play their roles to bring New Orleans another win. The largest spread of the week may be a bit much, as the Falcons will do what they can to keep Quinn around and save him from getting fired, but let's not forget the Saints are coming off their bye as well.
Prediction: Saints 30-20

2-7 New York Giants (-2, -130) vs. 1-7 New York Jets (+2, +110)

The MetLife Stadium Bowl between the Giants and Jets. Talk about a snooze. The Jets are coming off an embarrassing loss to Miami that you would think would have gotten Adam Gase canned, while the Giants got smoked yet again by the Cowboys. Both teams have good running backs with Barkley and Bell, but no protection for them. That has lead to Daniel Jones fumbling and losing the ball seven times already, while Darnold continues to make his own mistakes after the missed snap leading to a safety on Sunday. It is hard to say one of these teams will win, but I would have to take the Giants after they appeared to have life in the first half, before giving the game away and losing by 19 points.
Prediction: Giants 18-13

3-5-1 Arizona Cardinals (+4.5, +185) vs. 2-6 Tampa Buccaneers (-4.5, -225)

Bruce Arians gets to face his former team, as we get the two teams that almost overcame the top two NFC West teams in Week 9. The Bucs took the Seahawks to OT, while the Cardinals only let the undefeated 49ers get away by three points. Both teams have shown us they can deliver with offensive numbers, it is their defenses that I worry about. Winston should have a blast finding Godwin and Evans for deep plays, while Murray will make his way around the pressure to keep drives going. I expect a high scoring battle where that late turnover will make all the difference. The Arizona +4.5 spread bet looks like the one to take in this matchup.
Prediction: Buccaneers 33-31
Sunday, NOV. 10th @ 4:05-4:25 PM ET

1-7 Miami Dolphins (+10.5, +375) vs. 5-3 Indianapolis Colts (-10.5, -525)

Props to the Dolphins for grabbing their first win. Fitzpatrick looked good and their defense gave us a good show. That will not happen again. Even with Hoyer taking the snaps, the Colts have the personal to get down the field and then apply the pressure to force some turnovers. The Dolphins need to focus more on getting that better draft pick anyway, as Mack and Pascal will make some fantasy owners happy. Colts -10.5 is a large spread, but that money line doesn't pay out well. It will be close, but I would take the Dolphins to keep it close enough with that spread.
Prediction: Colts 27-17 

5-3 Carolina Panthers (+5, +210) vs. 7-2 Green Bay Packers (-5, -250)

Well the Panthers finally put Newton on the IR and out for the season. But Kyle Allen has filled in quiet well, though it will not be him that makes the big difference in this one. Gordon and the Chargers offense just owned the Packers and now it is McCaffrey's turn. Rodgers is going to have a real challenge to keep up with McCaffrey, as the Panthers control the clock getting first downs at a consistent rate. Rodgers isn't going to get many chances, as he will be spending majority of his time on the sideline watching the Panthers move the ball up field. This is my big upset pick of the week, as the Packers got their wake up call against the Chargers and need to figure out how to put it back together quickly.
Prediction: Panthers 28-24

5-3 Los Angeles Rams (-3.5, -185) vs. 4-4 Pittsburgh Steelers (+3.5, +165)

This will be a good one, as both teams need a win to stay in the picture of the playoffs. We have a couple good defenses that will apply a lot of pressure, so it depends on which QB puts on a better show. Goff has not impressed me to much this season and Gurley has had his health issues. But the Rams are coming off their bye and hopefully have gotten healthy and prepared well for this matchup. Mason Rudolph has shown he has some good skill, but I question how he will handle the pressure. I believe he will end up being the QB that makes that extra mistake that costs them the game. Rams -185 looks like the best bet, as a late field goal will probably decide in this one.
Prediction: Rams 23-21 

Sunday, NOV. 10th @ 8:20 PM ET

6-3 Minnesota Vikings (+3, +130) vs. 5-3 Dallas Cowboys (-3, -150)

I expect a real close one, which is bad news for a certain QB named Kirk Cousins. With the Vikings, Cousins holds a record of 0-10-1 when trailing at any point in the 4th quarter. Not to mention we have a prime time game here, which he hasn't really been very good in either. The Vikings secondary has been a bit of a let down recently, drawing a lot of penalties and missing coverage. Amari Cooper should be a popular target for Dak at home, as the Cowboys use both their run and pass game to put up some points while the Vikings will need to turn to Cook to do a good portion of the work which ended up not paying off last week.
Prediction: Cowboys 31-27 

Monday, NOV. 11th @ 8:15 PM ET

7-2 Seattle Seahawks (+6, +220) vs. 8-0 San Francisco 49ers (-6, -260)

Russell Wilson will look to show his mobility and clutch plays on Monday night, but it just will not be enough against the 49ers. The Seahawks defense doesn't have what it takes to slow the 49ers down and give them their first loss. San Francisco has scored 72 points over the last two weeks, while the Seahawks are allowing on average 25.6 points per game. Wilson will make it interesting, but the 49ers defense will prove to be to much for him to keep up as the game goes on. Garoppolo will get things going through the air against Seattle's secondary that doesn't take much to be beaten, I mean Winston just showed us with his repetition of deep bombs completed. The 49ers will add another W to their perfect season, though I expect an exciting finish from Wilson trying to catch up.
Prediction: 49ers 34-27  
Bye week teams: Denver Broncos, New England Patriots, Philadelphia Eagles, Washington Redskins, Jacksonville Jaguars, & Houston Texans
-Tom Franich 

Wednesday, October 30, 2019

NFL Season 100!! Week 9 predictions: Brady vs. Jackson, can Lamar slip through the Pats defense?

We are right around the half way mark of the season, the trade deadline just passed and the battles for playoff spots will only intensify. We are coming off a week full of large spreads and some big blowouts, as six games with at least a two touchdown differential. But this week things change a bit, as only a few games are expected to end more than a six point differential. This should be a fun week, as we have a lot of games between two teams looking to stay in the playoff hunt. The Colts are making a stop in Pittsburgh, while the Bears meet the Eagles, the Titans take on the Panthers, and the Lions head west to meet the Raiders. The game I am looking forward to most though, is Brady and the undefeated Patriots visiting Lamar Jackson and the Baltimore Ravens. Jackson has looked unstoppable, running and passing the ball, making that top play list on ESPN over and over again. Now he gets to face that Patriots defense that would have the team above a .500 record even if Brady and the offense had never stepped on the field this year. That Sunday Night Football game will be really entertaining, as the Patriots will have a good challenge to stay undefeated. It is their first game against a QB that can possibly beat their defense, as they get to face Wentz, Prescott, Watson, and hopefully Mahomes all in a row after this. Belichick has taken his team to beat a first or second year QB 21 straight times though, we will see if he can keep that going. I went 12-3 last week and have a 77-43-1 record on the year. Here are the Week 9 predictions and who you may want to make a wager on this weekend.
Thursday, Oct. 31st @ 8:20 PM ET

7-0 San Francisco 49ers (-9.5, -475) vs. 3-4-1 Arizona Cardinals (+9.5, +375)

That 49ers defense is amazing. Nick Bosa has brought so much life to that team and I love his celebrations. If I had those Locks and Upsets of the week, this would be my Lock. Murray is going to have a tough time finding a space against Ford and Bosa, while the 49ers run game will destroy that Cardinals defense. If you want to make a quick buck on Thursday while out having some drinks, taking the 49ers will help you cover the night at the casino.
Prediction: 49ers 30-17
Sunday, Nov. 3rd @ 9:30 AM ET

5-3 Houston Texans (-2, -135) vs. 4-4 Jacksonville Jaguars (+2, +115)

The Jaguars are back in London, as they should see a good amount of Jags jerseys with the amount of trips they take to the UK. They get to face off against their division rival, as they look to even the records with the Texans looking as an AFC South with no one under .500 on the year. Though they have won two games in a row, missing Ramsey may cost them with the Watson-Hopkins match that has been bringing Houston a lot of points. Watt may be out, but the Houston defense will keep Minshew quiet enough for the win. A close one, but -2 shouldn't be to much to cover.
Prediction: Texans 27-23
Sunday, Nov. 3rd @ 1:00 PM ET

1-7 Washington Redskins (+10, +380) vs. 5-2 Buffalo Bills (-10, -480)

I want to consider the Bills to be real AFC playoff contenders, but they just don't seem to be a clutch team coming away with too many field goals instead of TDs. Their offense shouldn't have many issues this week though, as the Redskins defense has not looked very good this year. Allen may be able to convince more people, as long as he can find Brown or Gore for the six point play instead of settling for three. It will be a good game at first, but the Bills defense will not let the Redskins make enough of an impact to stay in the game.
Prediction: Bills 20-10 

6-2 Minnesota Vikings (-1, -120) vs. 5-3 Kansas City Chiefs (+1, +100)

So you can't go off those betting lines right now with Mahomes availability still up in the air. But after watching Aaron Jones and Jamal Williams score all the TDs and have their way against the KC defense, I can't imagine what Dalvin Cook is about to do. We will be saying "Cousins who" again. The Vikings defense will leave it all up to the Chiefs pass game and if Mahomes isn't there the Chiefs wont have a chance. With Mahomes out, we will see a 31-13 type final but I will make my prediction as if he is going to play this week.
Prediction: Vikings 31-27 

1-6 New York Jets (-3, -150) vs. 0-7 Miami Dolphins (+3, +150)

Gase wants his revenge against Miami. Though the Jets have looked rather sad on offense, it is time for Darnold to suck it up and be there for his coach and team. Fitzpatrick has looked good, they just can't stay in the game against anyone. We will see which defense can step it up more, as turnovers will decide this game. We saw Miami hand it over four times on Monday Football, I expect them to continue to play sloppy ball and give the Jets the win late in the game. I really hope it comes down to the Dolphins vs. Bengals game to decide who gets a win first.
Prediction: Jets 20-18

3-4 Chicago Bears (+5, +195) vs. 4-4 Philadelphia Eagles (-5, -235)

Both of these teams are not liking their current spot in the standings. The Bears are looking up at all three teams in their division, while the Eagles secondary can't seem to stop anyone, leading to the Cowboys seat at the top of the NFC East. Both teams do well to stop the run game, as Howard gets to rush against his former team this week. The big difference in this one though is the pass game. Wentz is a QB I feel I can trust as long as he get enough protection. Trubisky is a different story, the guy doesn't seem to have his game right now and needs his defense to step up to keep him in this one. I still can't believe he went before Mahomes and Watson in the draft in 2017. Defenses will keep it close, but I have to take Philly's offense over Chicago's.
Prediction: Eagles 23-20

5-2 Indianapolis Colts (-1, -120) vs. 3-4 Pittsburgh Steelers (+1, +100)

The Colts look to hold the AFC South lead, while the Steelers want to get back to an even record. The big difference in this game though is the QBs. Brissett has done well with the ball this season and has hit his targets, while we saw Rudolph throw it up into the air and end up in Dolphins arms a few times on Monday Night. In what is expected to be a close one, that late turnover will be the difference and I trust the Colts to take better care of that ball. Plus Conner left the game late, hopefully he can play for the Steelers, but his health also gives me a doubt towards Pittsburgh.
Prediction: Colts 21-17

4-4 Tennessee Titans (+4, +180) vs. 4-3 Carolina Panthers (-4, -210)

This is a game both of these teams need. The Panthers are watching the Saints take off with the division and are coming off a really tough loss against the current NFC leader. While the Titans play in the only division that has no one with negative records and want to catch the Texans and Colts in the standings. Both these teams have good running backs, with McCaffrey and Henry running the ball, but who do you trust more taking the snaps, Tannehill or Allen? Both teams will bring the pressure, as I expect a defensive close game. I would take the money line with Carolina, as the Titans have kept most games close.
Prediction: Panthers 17-14
Sunday, Nov. 3rd @ 4:05-4:25 PM ET

3-3-1 Detroit Lions (+2, +110) vs. 3-4 Oakland Raiders (-2, -130)

You have two very similar teams here. Both have offenses that can make a difference and defenses that can be beaten. Which team is the one to trust? Well the Raiders are home..finally! They have not actually played in Oakland since Week 2 on September 15th. I was there and that feels like a good while ago when Mahomes destroyed their secondary. Now its Stafford's turn, as he will find Marvin Jones right there in the corner again for s big play or two. Carr has his weapons, especially in the run game and that great tight-end of his. But I think Stafford is more consistent and will be more motivated looking at the 7-1 and 6-2 records of his division rivals. My upset pick of the week, so that +110 money line bet looks good to me.
Prediction: Lions 33-27

2-5 Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+6.5, +240) vs. 6-2 Seattle Seahawks (-6.5, -260)

These two teams have looked similar in the pass game. Winston has his to big targets with Godwin and Evans, while Wilson has handled the ball better and not turned it over 3-4 times. Seattle has the edge in the run game, but that Buccaneers defense has stopped the run well. The difference is this game will be Wilson's ability to avoid pressure and make a play out of tough situations, while Winston will have a rough time against the pressure leading to turnovers. The Seahawks have shown us they can bring it this season and will do what can to avoid falling behind the 49ers farther. Seahawks win but don't cover.
Prediction: Seahawks 34-28

2-5 Cleveland Browns (-3, -170) vs. 2-6 Denver Broncos (+3, +150)

So no Flacco over an injury I call BS. The team just didn't like his comments after their loss to the Colts. While Cleveland has dropped four in a row, but that was against the Rams, 49ers, Seahawks, and Patriots so you can't act to surprised. It is now the Browns time to shine though, their defense should have some fun and force some turnovers. Mayfield would really appreciate some drives starting in Denver territory and I bet his defense will do that for him once or twice. The key is limiting those penalties. They can't have that pick-6 then watch it get called back, that is getting way to old for those Browns fans. A defensive match, but the Browns take it late, as if that isn't new for Denver anyway.
Prediction: Browns 15-13 

7-1 Green Bay Packers (-3, -175) vs. 3-5 Los Angeles Chargers (+3, +155)

Green Bay's offense has exploded these past couple weeks and that has been without their main WR. Still uncertain if Adams will be back for Rodgers to throw to, but he keeps finding a way to win without him. Aaron Jones leads the NFL in TDs with 11, as he was the big piece to beat Dallas and KC, while Rodgers found Lazard and other targets to overcome the Raiders. The Chargers on the other hand have looked terrible on offense. Rivers has little protection and those Smith boys will be coming for him. The game may be in LA, but you will see more Packers fans in the stands. Packers win and cover, a -3 shouldn't be to hard to beat with or without Adams, as the Packers look to finish the sweep of the AFC West.
Prediction: Packers 27-20
Sunday, Nov. 3rd @ 8:20 PM ET

8-0 New England Patriots (-3.5, -185) vs. 5-2 Baltimore Ravens (+3.5, +165)

This game will be a blast, either Jackson will show us this Patriots defense can be beaten or we will see him get trapped behind the line over and over again leading to an early decided game. If Jackson comes out on top, he will be able to give the doubters a good lecture in the postgame interview and the focus will be on him for a good while. But I bet that Patriots defense finds a way to take away his comfortability and make him throw the ball more than he is used to on those 3rd down plays. That will lead to a game controlled by Brady and the Patriots offense. They will focus to keep Jackson off the field leading to their win. A close one, but that -185 money line looks good.
Prediction: Patriots 27-24
Monday, Nov. 4th @ 8:15 PM ET

4-3 Dallas Cowboys (-7, -350) vs. 2-6 New York Giants (+7, +290)

Dallas is headed back to MetLife Stadium, where they had a tough loss to the Jets who celebrated their one and only win on the year still. But the Cowboys had their injury issues then and are now coming off the bye looking healthy. The Cowboys offense will embarrass the Giants defense, as Dak and Zeke are rested and ready to get back on top yardage lists. The Cowboys will wrap up their sweep of the Giants on the year, as betting that 7 point spread should bring home a good profit on Monday Night.
Prediction: Cowboys 34-20
Bye week teams: New Orleans Saints, Cincinnati Bengals, Atlanta Falcons, & Los Angeles Rams
-Tom Franich

Wednesday, October 23, 2019

NFL Season 100!! Week 8 Predictions: Can the 49ers stay undefeated against Allen and the Panthers?

Wow Week 7 sure was full of blowouts! The only game that was close was the Titans Chargers game that finished with a three point difference. Other than that, it seemed that 37-10 was the kind of score each game finished with. Week 8 is full of some large spreads, as the sports books expect the blowouts to continue. One game that should be close and I can't wait to see is Christian McCaffrey returning to the Bay Area with the Panthers to take on the undefeated 49ers. Kyle Allen has looked good in his four starts, completing over 65% of his passes and throwing no interceptions. Allen and McCaffrey will give the 49ers defense a good challenge to keep that perfect record. The 49ers six opponents on the season combine for an 11-28 record so far on the year, as Jimmy G with need to be consistent to stay on top in this one. I had a 10-4 record in Week 7, making me 65-40-1 on the year. Week 8 will be entertaining, here are the predictions and who you may want to take this coming weekend.
Thursday, Oct. 24th, 8:20 PM ET

1-6 Washington Redskins (+16,+750) vs. 5-2 Minnesota Vikings (-16,-1200)

Thursday Night Football may not be much of a game, but it will be fun to see Adrian Peterson and Case Keenum return to Minnesota looking for revenge, as Kirk Cousins takes on his former team as well. Adam Thielen may be out with his hamstring injury, but Diggs and Cook will do plenty against that Washington defense. Peterson will have a tough time against his old time and their strong defensive line, which will lead to a good amount of third and longs that Keenum will have a tough time with. A large spread, but the Vikings will not be letting much through, as Cousins and Cooks add up the points.
Prediction: Vikings 33-10     
Sunday, Oct. 27th, 1:00 PM ET

5-2 Seattle Seahawks (-6.5,-300) vs. 1-6 Atlanta Falcons (+6.5,+250) 

It has been a tough year for the Falcons, as head coach Dan Quinn keeps seeing injured players limp off the field. QB Matt Ryan went down and left the game with an ankle injury against the Rams. Now the Falcons gets to host another tough NFC West foe in the Seahawks. Russel Wilson is coming off his worst game of the year, throwing his first interception and getting outplayed by Lamar Jackson in8 a 14 point loss. Ready to prove their defense is better than just one sack, the Seahawks are ready to go into Atlanta and apply some good pressure. I expect a good game at first, but the Seahawks up by 10-14 this time as the game concludes.
Prediction: Seahawks 34-21   

3-3-1 Arizona Cardinals (+9.5,+400) vs. 6-1 New Orleans Saints (-9.5,-500) 

Word is Drew Brees may return for this game. I wouldn't bring him back quite yet though. They are about to go on the bye and I would let him have one more game off to make sure he is good to go. Plus the Cardinals defense shouldn't be much for Bridgewater to overcome. Murray has won three straight, but those were games against the Bengals, Falcons, and Giants who combine for a record of 3-18 after Week 7. The Saints defense has been dominant, not to mention they will be at home. It is not going to be an easy one for Murray to keep up in. I got to take the Saints on this one, but via money line.
Prediction: Saints 24-17

2-5 Los Angeles Chargers (+4,+180) vs. 3-3 Chicago Bears (-4,-215) 

Defense will be the difference here. Both of these offenses have been rather disappointing recently, as Trubisky and Rivers both are having a tough time against the pressure. Khalil Mack and the Bears will get to Rivers easily with his weak offensive line which will lead to sacks and turnovers. It will be a low scoring match, but the Bears defense will bring them the win. Expect a close one though, so money line would be your better option.
Prediction: Bears 14-12

1-5 New York Jets (+6,+220) vs. 3-4 Jacksonville Jaguars (-6,-260) 

Sam Darnold is coming off a rough one, as those so called "ghosts" haunted him leading to his five turnovers and 0 total points. He gets to see Jaguars this time, as I expect a defensive battle. Minshew and Fournette will have their issues against the Jets defense and the many blitzes they will bring. Minshew will have to get creative again and find a way to avoid the sacks, while Darnold will need to do something other than throw the ball away to get some points on the board. This will be a low scoring game, so I would take the Jaguars at home but with that money line instead of the spread.
Prediction: Jaguars 13-10

2-5 New York Giants (+7,+250) vs. 2-3-1 Detroit Lions (-7,-310)

Both of these teams are looking to climb out of a whole right now. The Lions can't catch a break with the refs, while the Giants can't slow down any offense right now. The Lions may be missing a piece of the run game with Johnson out, but it is the pass game they want to use to defeat the Giants anyway. Stafford will have a good time finding Marvin Jones a few more times for big gains and a TD or two. Barkley and Engram are back, but that Lions secondary will be putting the pressure on those two get open for the short pass plays and come up with the big runs. I think the Giants will keep this interesting, but the Lions defense is to good to let this one slip away. The 7 point spread may be a bit much, but I still would take the Lions money line and maybe parlay with another game you like.
Prediction: Lions 27-21  

2-4 Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+2.5,+125) vs. 3-4 Tennessee Titans (-2.5,-145)

This will be a close one that depends on turnovers. The Titans will have a limited offense with Tannehill or Mariota taking the snaps, while Winston will gain big yards finding Evans and Godwin down the field. The key is Winston needs to avoid throwing to many picks or taking to many sacks against the Titans defense. I expect a close one, but as long as Winston only turns it over 1-2 times I like the Bucs to pull off the upset. I would go for the risk with that +125 money line at the book this weekend.
Prediction: Buccaneers 23-21 

3-4 Philadelphia Eagles (+1.5,+100) vs. 5-1 Buffalo Bills (-1.5,-125)

That Eagles offensive line looks terrible. They didn't let the Packers through at all back in Week 4, but after some injuries Wentz was served up on a platter for the Cowboys. The Bills have a strong rush and good secondary with their defense and are going to bring a world of hurt to that Eagles offense. The question is if Allen can do enough to bring the Bills the W their defense deserves. His options are limited on who to go to in the pass game, so I expect a low scoring field goal game. But I have to take the strong defense in Buffalo, as I bet they take this one thanks to a late kick at home.
Prediction: Bills 16-13

2-5 Denver Broncos (+6,+220) vs. 4-2 Indianapolis Colts (-6,-260)

Luck may be gone, but the Colts sit in first place in the AFC South. Eric Ebron made that amazing TD catch, as Brissett and that Indy offense isn't getting the credit they deserve. Brissett has some great protection, leading to high point totals and a lot of TD passes as he connected for four of them against Houston. Flacco is going to need his offensive line to put on a good show, taking on Justin Houston and that Colts defense. He seems to hold on to the ball to long and rarely can escape pressure. I'd take the Colts with that -6 spread, as Denver will have a tough time putting uo many points.
Prediction: Colts 24-16 

0-7 Cincinnati Bengals (+13,+500) vs. 4-3 Los Angeles Rams (-13,-700)

The Rams got off their losing streak beating up a weak Falcons secondary, but now it is the run games turn. Gurley is going to make some fantasy owners happy, as the Bengals can't seem to stop any form of the run game. Goff will have fun too with his quick 7-10 yard slot passes, as the Rams will be scoring a lot again this week. Donald and the Rams defense will be facing another terrible offensive line, as they will bring some big pressure and keeping the Bengals in third and long situations. Rams take this no problem, I will even take that large spread for the better pay out.
Prediction: Rams 37-12 
Sunday, Oct. 27th, 4:05-4:25 PM ET

4-2 Carolina Panthers (+5.5,+205) vs. 6-0 San Francisco 49ers (-5.5,-250)

Game of the week in my opinion, the high scoring Panthers meet the power house defense of the 49ers. The Panthers are at a large disadvantage in the pass game matchups, as McCaffrey is going to need to impress his former Stanford fans in the Bay Area and carry his offense in this one. It's not like we have not seen him do it many times already this year, but that 49ers defense is not going to give him nearly as much space as he has been seeing on the year. I want to see how Garoppolo handles Kuechly and the Panthers defense, as the Rams are only team with a legit defense he has seen on the season. With Sanders on the team now, he has some good hands he can count on with the long ball. This will be a good defensive battle and I bet will end closer than 5.5 points. But I can't go against that 49ers defense, so the -250 money line would be my bet.
Prediction: 49ers 21-20   

3-3 Oakland Raiders (+6.5,+240) vs. 4-3 Houston Texans (-6.5,-290)

I think the Raiders will make more of a game of this than many seem to expect. After getting torched by Rodgers, the Raiders want to bounce back and show they can hold up on defense. It will be a challenge though, as Watson will be running around the edges and find Hopkins for a few big plays. Carr and Jacobs will keep the Raiders in this one with some clutch offensive plays of their own, but it will in the end be the Raiders secondary that isn't there leading to a close one, but still a loss for Oakland. A 6.5 spread is to large however, take the points with the Raiders or that -290 money line with Houston if you want to bet this one.
Prediction: Texans 28-24 

2-4 Cleveland Browns (+13,+525) vs. 7-0 New England Patriots (-13,-750)

Belichick taking on his old team the Cleveland Browns. After taking penalties on purpose, I can't wait to see what he comes up with to burn the clock and show no mercy this week. The Browns may be coming off the bye, while the Patriots have a shorter rest week but I really doubt that is going to matter. Mayfield is going to have a hard time against that Patriots defense, especially when it comes to connecting with his favorite targets against Gilmore. The Browns will have to rely on Chubb to gain big yards to keep up with Brady and the high amount of points the Patriots offense will put together. But turnovers will end this one quick, as the Patriots win and cover.
Prediction: Patriots 33-20
Sunday, Oct. 27th, 8:20 PM ET

6-1 Green Bay Packers (-4.5,-200) vs. 5-2 Kansas City Chiefs (+4.5,+180)

I was looking forward to a Rodgers vs. Mahomes match and though things looked positive after testing for Mahomes injury and he has not been ruled out, I doubt he will be playing at Arrowhead on Sunday night. The Chiefs will need to rely a lot on the run game to get past the Packers defense, as they will be bringing the pressure on pass plays. Rodgers was incredible against the Raiders with his perfect passer rating and now he gets to take on another AFC West opponent with a shaky secondary. The balanced Packers offense will put a good amount of points on the board and take this one covering the spread with no Mahomes in play.
Prediction: Packers 30-20
Monday, Oct. 28th, 8:15 PM ET

0-6 Miami Dolphins (+14.5,+625) vs. 2-4 Pittsburgh Steelers (-14.5,-900)

Ryan Fitzpatrick gave the Dolphins some life against Buffalo, but yet again they came up short late thanks to that strong Bills defense shutting them down. Now the winless Dolphins get to meet another strong defense in the Pittsburgh Steelers. Third string Hodges showed us he has some game in the Steelers last game and win over the Chargers. Coming off the bye though, Mason Rudolph will be taking the snaps again after he received clearance from concussion protocol. He and Conner should put up some good numbers and bring the Steelers a rather easy win. That spread is large, but don't be surprised if that Pittsburgh defense has a pick 6 or two.
Prediction: Steelers 31-13
Week 8 byes: Baltimore Ravens & Dallas Cowboys
-Tom Franich