Wednesday, November 6, 2019

NFL Season 100!! Week 10 Predictions: Current MVP versus the last undefeated team on MNF!

Week 9 sure was entertaining. Those underdogs showed everyone they have some game, as teams such as the Dolphins, Broncos, and Chargers came out on top against teams they weren't suppose to. However, the two I liked most were the Chiefs victory without Mahomes over the Vikings and the Ravens providing the Patriots with their first loss. Week 10 gives us some good matches too, as there are few spreads of three or less. Sunday Night Football between Dallas and Minnesota will be good, while the Giants and Jets meet, and the Chargers take on their division rival Raiders on Thursday night, all of which are tough picks.

But the best game will be on Monday Night, as the leaders of the NFC West face off. Potential MVP Russell Wilson and the Seahawks visit the undefeated 49ers who are getting a real test to keep that perfect record. Wilson leads the league with 22 touchdown passes, but what will he be able to do against that 49ers defense that is lead by 7 sacks Nick Bosa? Here are next weeks picks, as I am looking to bounce back from my 7-7 record last week and continue to add more wins to my 84-50-1 record on the season.
Thursday, NOV. 7th @ 8:20 PM ET

4-5 Los Angeles Chargers (-1, -120) vs. 4-4 Oakland Raiders (+1, +100)

The week gets started with a AFC West matchup, as both teams look to stay in the fight for a playoff spot. Catching the Chiefs may be a bit much, but that wildcard spot is not out of reach for either of these teams yet. These teams are rather opposite in my opinion. The Chargers offense isn't very reliable, but that defense is a weapon, as we just saw them put Rodgers and the Packers to shame. While the Raiders can't stop many teams pass game, but have an offense that can break through thanks to Jacobs. I have to take Joey Bosa and the defense in this one though, as Rivers does quietly lead the league in passing yards and with enough pressure Carr can be stopped.
Prediction: Chargers 20-17 

Sunday, NOV. 10th @ 1:00 PM ET

3-4-1 Detroit Lions (+3, +130) vs. 3-5 Chicago Bears (-3, -150)

The NFC North went 0-4 in Week 9, luckily we got the Bears hosting the Lions as the bottom two teams in the division both look to climb out of their slumps. The Bears have dropped four straight, while the Lions have lost four of their last five games. The Bears offense has been straight up sad, but this week they get to face one fo the leagues worst defenses. We will see if Trubisky can start to put some plays together and give some momentum for the Bears defense to live off of. Stafford has been looking good this season, hitting his targets and remaining among the league leaders in most passing categories. This one will come down to the Bears run game vs. the Lions pass game. Though I expect something more impressive than the nine yard first half performance the Bears had last week, I don't think they will be able to out do Stafford. A close one, but I'd take the +130 money line with Detroit.
Prediction: Lions 24-20

6-2 Baltimore Ravens (-10, -475) vs. 0-8 Cincinnati Bengals (+10, +375)

The Ravens are going from taking on the best to now the worst. The Bengals are the only team left with no wins and will now face Lamar Jackson who slipped his way through the Patriots defense to beat them by 17 points. We have the best run game in the NFL taking on the worst run defense so home field advantage, trying a different QB with Finley, and coming off the bye won't mean a thing. We have one of the week's largest spreads in this one, but Baltimore should cover easily.
Prediction: Ravens 33-10

6-2 Buffalo Bills (+3, +135) vs. 2-6 Cleveland Browns (-3, -155)

I am at a bit of a loss of words as to why the Browns are favored. I mean they are in a situation where they have to win, so the sport books may expect them to come through this week. But weren't they in the same scenario last week against Denver? I watched the Broncos break way to many tackles and make their way down field against the Browns defense all too easily. The Bills defense does not make those mistakes and Mayfield will have to earn this one. He does get his new weapon in Kareem Hunt for the first time this year, but I expect it takes them a game or two to get some real chemistry going. Bills +135 money line looks like a good bet.
Prediction: Bills 17-14

6-3 Kansas Chiefs (-3.5, -185) vs. 4-5 Tennessee Titans (+3.5, +165)

It seems we will see Mahomes taking the snaps this week while visiting Tennessee. With or without him though, the difference in this one will Tyreek hill out running that beat up Titans secondary. We have seen him make some big grabs and even race his teammates to endzone when they are carrying the ball. KC just need to focus on holding Derrick Henry back, as long as he doesn't break away fro a few 50+ yard runs the Titans will not be able to come up with enough points to out score the Chiefs.
Prediction: Chiefs 26-20

1-7 Atlanta Falcons (+12.5, +475) vs. 7-1 New Orleans Saints (-12.5, -650)

Dan Quinn is somehow still on the sideline. The Falcons are having a terrible season and now get to take on their main division rival on the road. I expect Quinn will not be holding onto his job much longer, as Brees and Jordan play their roles to bring New Orleans another win. The largest spread of the week may be a bit much, as the Falcons will do what they can to keep Quinn around and save him from getting fired, but let's not forget the Saints are coming off their bye as well.
Prediction: Saints 30-20

2-7 New York Giants (-2, -130) vs. 1-7 New York Jets (+2, +110)

The MetLife Stadium Bowl between the Giants and Jets. Talk about a snooze. The Jets are coming off an embarrassing loss to Miami that you would think would have gotten Adam Gase canned, while the Giants got smoked yet again by the Cowboys. Both teams have good running backs with Barkley and Bell, but no protection for them. That has lead to Daniel Jones fumbling and losing the ball seven times already, while Darnold continues to make his own mistakes after the missed snap leading to a safety on Sunday. It is hard to say one of these teams will win, but I would have to take the Giants after they appeared to have life in the first half, before giving the game away and losing by 19 points.
Prediction: Giants 18-13

3-5-1 Arizona Cardinals (+4.5, +185) vs. 2-6 Tampa Buccaneers (-4.5, -225)

Bruce Arians gets to face his former team, as we get the two teams that almost overcame the top two NFC West teams in Week 9. The Bucs took the Seahawks to OT, while the Cardinals only let the undefeated 49ers get away by three points. Both teams have shown us they can deliver with offensive numbers, it is their defenses that I worry about. Winston should have a blast finding Godwin and Evans for deep plays, while Murray will make his way around the pressure to keep drives going. I expect a high scoring battle where that late turnover will make all the difference. The Arizona +4.5 spread bet looks like the one to take in this matchup.
Prediction: Buccaneers 33-31
Sunday, NOV. 10th @ 4:05-4:25 PM ET

1-7 Miami Dolphins (+10.5, +375) vs. 5-3 Indianapolis Colts (-10.5, -525)

Props to the Dolphins for grabbing their first win. Fitzpatrick looked good and their defense gave us a good show. That will not happen again. Even with Hoyer taking the snaps, the Colts have the personal to get down the field and then apply the pressure to force some turnovers. The Dolphins need to focus more on getting that better draft pick anyway, as Mack and Pascal will make some fantasy owners happy. Colts -10.5 is a large spread, but that money line doesn't pay out well. It will be close, but I would take the Dolphins to keep it close enough with that spread.
Prediction: Colts 27-17 

5-3 Carolina Panthers (+5, +210) vs. 7-2 Green Bay Packers (-5, -250)

Well the Panthers finally put Newton on the IR and out for the season. But Kyle Allen has filled in quiet well, though it will not be him that makes the big difference in this one. Gordon and the Chargers offense just owned the Packers and now it is McCaffrey's turn. Rodgers is going to have a real challenge to keep up with McCaffrey, as the Panthers control the clock getting first downs at a consistent rate. Rodgers isn't going to get many chances, as he will be spending majority of his time on the sideline watching the Panthers move the ball up field. This is my big upset pick of the week, as the Packers got their wake up call against the Chargers and need to figure out how to put it back together quickly.
Prediction: Panthers 28-24

5-3 Los Angeles Rams (-3.5, -185) vs. 4-4 Pittsburgh Steelers (+3.5, +165)

This will be a good one, as both teams need a win to stay in the picture of the playoffs. We have a couple good defenses that will apply a lot of pressure, so it depends on which QB puts on a better show. Goff has not impressed me to much this season and Gurley has had his health issues. But the Rams are coming off their bye and hopefully have gotten healthy and prepared well for this matchup. Mason Rudolph has shown he has some good skill, but I question how he will handle the pressure. I believe he will end up being the QB that makes that extra mistake that costs them the game. Rams -185 looks like the best bet, as a late field goal will probably decide in this one.
Prediction: Rams 23-21 

Sunday, NOV. 10th @ 8:20 PM ET

6-3 Minnesota Vikings (+3, +130) vs. 5-3 Dallas Cowboys (-3, -150)

I expect a real close one, which is bad news for a certain QB named Kirk Cousins. With the Vikings, Cousins holds a record of 0-10-1 when trailing at any point in the 4th quarter. Not to mention we have a prime time game here, which he hasn't really been very good in either. The Vikings secondary has been a bit of a let down recently, drawing a lot of penalties and missing coverage. Amari Cooper should be a popular target for Dak at home, as the Cowboys use both their run and pass game to put up some points while the Vikings will need to turn to Cook to do a good portion of the work which ended up not paying off last week.
Prediction: Cowboys 31-27 

Monday, NOV. 11th @ 8:15 PM ET

7-2 Seattle Seahawks (+6, +220) vs. 8-0 San Francisco 49ers (-6, -260)

Russell Wilson will look to show his mobility and clutch plays on Monday night, but it just will not be enough against the 49ers. The Seahawks defense doesn't have what it takes to slow the 49ers down and give them their first loss. San Francisco has scored 72 points over the last two weeks, while the Seahawks are allowing on average 25.6 points per game. Wilson will make it interesting, but the 49ers defense will prove to be to much for him to keep up as the game goes on. Garoppolo will get things going through the air against Seattle's secondary that doesn't take much to be beaten, I mean Winston just showed us with his repetition of deep bombs completed. The 49ers will add another W to their perfect season, though I expect an exciting finish from Wilson trying to catch up.
Prediction: 49ers 34-27  
Bye week teams: Denver Broncos, New England Patriots, Philadelphia Eagles, Washington Redskins, Jacksonville Jaguars, & Houston Texans
-Tom Franich 

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