Thursday, November 19, 2015

Week 11 Predictions

Week 10 was full of upsets and close matches, even some with big missed calls that decided the game. We go into week 11 with a lot of QB issues, from Manning and Foles hitting the bench to dealing with injuries as bad as Luck and as minor as Bradford. Either way Romo is back, Weeden is cut and division leads are up for grabs.
Titans (2-7) @ Jaguars (3-6)
Week 11 gets underway with an AFC South fight between the Titans and Jaguars, as the battle for this division is still wide open. Jacksonville has a chance to take over with a win and Texans loss, as they are coming off their shall we say lucky victory over Baltimore. The Jaguars are looking good right now, as Bortles has been raising his QB rating and the defense has been putting up a good fight. I see them putting pressure on Mariota and bringing a good win at home. The spread is three points favoring the Jaguars and I agree. Jaguars take it 17-14.  
Packers (6-3) @ Vikings (7-2)
Peterson and the Vikings have taken five straight and are really hot, while the Packers are completely opposite right now dropping the last three suffering the Ditka curse. Rodgers did not seem to trust his receivers last week in their disgraceful loss to the 1-7 Lions. There were dropped passes and just a pure lack of offense from Green Bay, as they couldn't get anything going. The Vikings are favored by one point at home, which I think to be a little low. Vikings 30-24.
Raiders (4-5) @ Lions (2-7)
The Raiders have suffered back to back loses against the Steelers and Vikings and are now in need of a victory to make the playoffs a realistic possibility once again. The Lions are coming off their win, that is first win in Green Bay since 1991. With that achievement they have some momentum to build off of, as they look to make a run for a wildcard spot. Though on their losing streak and losing Aldon Smith for the year, the Raiders are favored by two but I bet Carr and Murray do better against the Lions defense. Raiders win 23-17.
Colts (4-5) @ Falcons (6-3)
No Andrew Luck. That is the story of this matchup, as this will be the third game Luck misses on the season and it wont be the last. But if you look back on it, Hasselbeck took home a couple of wins in his previous starts early in the year. The Falcons may have started 5-0, but they have looked terrible since then. With no Luck the spread favors the Falcons by six points, that is a bit much but I still side with Atlanta. Falcons 20-17.
Jets (5-4) @ Texans (4-5)
Houston is in good position to take solid control of the AFC South this week, as they get ready to take on the dinged up Jets. New York had a hot start, but from Fitzpatrick's hand problem to WR injuries of Marshal and Decker, it will be up to Ivory to carry the Jets offense as they have been slumping. The Texans are coming off their impressive win over the Bengals on Monday night, but may be missing their starter Hoyer after his injury that took him out of the game. TJ Yates may be making the start for Houston, as they look to sink the Jets hopes for the playoffs and keep their winning streak going. Spread favors the Jets by two, but I say Texans 21-20.
Buccaneers (4-5) @ Eagles (4-5)
Eagles are facing the common QB issue as Bradford may not play and they would have to rely on Sanchez. Now if you know the NFL, you know not to do that. The question is if Winston and the Bucs can put up enough offense to overcome the Eagles. The Eagles are favored by 5.5, which is way to much as if they were to win it would be by three at max. The Bucs have not won in Philly since 2003, but if Bradford is out I got to go Buccaneers 18-16.
Broncos (7-2) @ Bears (4-5)
Bears were looking like a bottom dweller this season, then they got hot and lit up the Rams by 24. Peyton Manning set the NFL passing yard record last week, but also threw four interceptions and was benched. Now he has an injured left foot and the Broncos are relying Osweiler. The Bears are favored by one, and with how hot they have been its tough to go against them. Can the Broncos tough defense step it up and force Cutler to make all his normal mistakes? I got to go Bears 24-21.
Rams (4-5) @ Ravens (2-7)
Ravens are coming off a tough one and they can't continue to have such bad luck. The Rams are benching Foles, as they are unhappy with their offense. Gurley has been a beast, but he needs some support from the other side. Look for Flacco and the Ravens to finally get back on the winners table. They are favored by two, but I see a 13-10 Ravens victory.
Cowboys (2-7) @ Dolphins (4-5)
Tony Romo is back! The Cowboys are winless since he got injured in week two and I think he will turn that around. With Romo back the Cowboys will finally be able to put together an offense they can be proud of. The Dolphins have been struggling, as they came up with a last second win over Philly last week, but looked terrible the prior two weeks. The spread is even in this matchup, but with Romo back I got to say Cowboys 27-20.
Redskins (4-5) @ Panthers (9-0)
Washington just put up 47 points in their win over the Saints. Don't expect anything like that again, as they go from the worst pass defense to one of the best in the NFL. With Kuechly, Short, and Allen putting on the pressure Cousins will be throwing the ball up for grabs and the Panthers will take advantage. Everyone is picking up Jone soff fantasy after his performance last week, but he will be lucky to get positive points this week. Panthers are favored by seven, but I think they wil stay undefeated and take it 31-9 Carolina.
Bengals (8-1) @ Cardinals (7-2)
Dalton and the Bengals are coming off a tough loss after getting tamed by the Texans. They look to rebound, but are taking on another tough defense and possibly the best team in the NFC. The Cardinals showed their division rival that there is no easy way to get past them with their win over the Seahawks. Palmer, Fitzgerald, Ellington, Floyd, and Johnson are working together to be an offense that is hard to slow down. When Iupati left the game things began to slow down, but he has passed concussion protocol and may play this week. The Cardinals are favored by four and that is something I can go with. Arizona wins 32-24. 
49ers (3-6) @ Seahawks (4-5)
The 9ers are coming off not only the bye but also a victory. Now that doesn't mean they will be able to do much visiting Seattle, but I have more faith in them than a lot of others seem to. The spread is 12.5 points which comes off as a bit much. With that 4-5 record, the Seahawks know they basically need to go undefeated to make the playoffs. Wilson will expose the 49ers defense weakness and bring home a 24-13 Seattle win.  
Chiefs (4-5) @ Chargers (2-7)
Though Rivers has been a league leader so much of the season, the Chargers are still sitting at the bottom of their division losing five in a row. The Chiefs originally looked to be the team that would finish in last in the AFC West with their 1-5 start. But they have now taken three in a row even without Charles. The Chiefs defense looked great against Manning, as they look to force Rivers to turnover the ball at the same rate. The Chiefs are favored by three and I think their defense will give them that. Kansas City 29-23.
Bills (5-4) @ Patriots (9-0)
Rex Ryan took down his former team, now he wants to beat the Patriots. Brady has lost one of his main targets in Julian Edleman who is out with a foot injury. Though that makes the Patriots a little more vulnerable, I don't think it will be enough to bring them down. I mena Gronk is still out there. The Patriots are favored by seven, but I think the Bills will make it more interesting. Patriots win 31-27.



Record: 87-59
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