Wednesday, September 18, 2019

NFL Season 100! Week 3 Predictions

Week 2 sure was crazy, as the road teams sure knew how to blow out their opponents. Six road teams won by double digits, along with four road underdog teams going home with the victory. The big news however is the key injuries to Big Ben and Drew Brees. Roethlisberger is out for the year! That is a big blow for the Steelers, but this is a great opportunity to see what former Oklahoma State QB Mason Rudolph can do for them. Brees will be missing at least six weeks, but word is it may take longer with his thumb needing some attention after the run in, or what looked like a painful high five with defensive tackle Aaron Donald. The Saints have their backups, as it looks like Teddy Bridgewater will get most of the work. I am sure Saints fans are hoping he can get at least a .500 record while Brees is out to keep them in the picture for the playoffs, as the Saints look like a team that can make a run for the Super Bowl. The contest continues into Week 3, the standings are listed below.
Week 2 records:    Seasonal records: 
Lauren: 9-7 56%     Lauren: 22-9 71%
Joe: 12-4 75%         Joe: 21-10 68%
Marcus 8-8 50%     Marcus 19-12 61%
Tommy: 8-8 50%   Tommy: 18-13 58%

1-1 Tennessee Titans (-1,-125) vs 0-2 Jacksonville Jaguars (+1,+105)

Tommy: We are getting the week started with an AFC South battle, a division that really looks like it's up for grabs between three teams that is. Due to QB injuries I am already excluding the Jags, well there is that and the fact that Ramsey wants out now and is requesting a trade. The team will only fall apart more now after his request. Plus I believe in Derrick Henry will be too much to against the Jags in this one. Henry has given me some great fantasy numbers, Mariota just needs to avoid turnovers. TEN 16-10 
Lauren: With or without Jalen Ramsey, I think the Titans have the upper hand in this game for two reasons. One, Minshew is getting sacked too often to score enough points. Two, the Titans are predominantly a running team, and their secondary is the last line of defense against Derrick Henry. TEN 27-17
Marcus: With Foles on the IR and a looming possible trade of Jalen Ramsey in the near future, this season is starting off shaky for the jags. But they did hold up Houston last week with the surprise play of QB Minshew. I like the Titans to win but the jags to keep it close. TEN 13-10
Joe: "The views of Joe are not the views of the other bloggers." yeah, no kidding. I'll take the big Week 2 win though at 12-4. Thank you NFL schedulers for another Thursday night crap-tastic match-up. Titans Week2 loss. Told you! Let's assume that they will stick with being right around .500 all season. That means they will win this one before losing at Atlanta in Week 4. I like Gardner Minshew. I don't even mind that they went for 2 and the win against the incredibly overrated Texans. But the wheels are coming off of this team quickly. TEN 20-17  

0-2 Denver Broncos (+7.5,+280) vs 2-0 Green Bay Packers (-7.5,-360)

Tommy: The big stat that catches my eye for this game is sacks and how Denver still has 0 on the season. While the Packers are one of the leading teams in putting pressure on the QB with their offseason LB pick-ups of Za'Darius and Preston Smith. If that trend continues and Rodgers has good time, while Flacco is under a lot of pressure, it will be really hard for Denver to keep up on the scoreboard. GB 23-12
Lauren: Denver lost quite a heartbreaker last week to the Bears. Their last drive looked like they had finally put it all together. I can't say as much for the first 90% of the game though. In order to have any chance against the Packers, the Broncos will need to play a full game as that last-drive team. The Packers' defense is looking better every week and may get even more dangerous if they decide to add Jalen Ramsey. GB 28-14
Marcus: The Broncos played better last week against the Bears and the Packers played well to stop an up and coming Viking squad. Both teams have good defenses but I feel that Rodgers is the X-Factor in this match-up and will lead the Pack to a W. GB 24-14
Joe: Back to my big Week 2 win. Was anyone else astonished  with Marcus' stats last week? 9-1 against the spread in the last 10 Week 2 games? Holy shit bro! That was back in 2009! Were any of these guys or coaches even apart of these teams then? Where on earth did you get these stats? Please tell me you researched them yourself. If yes, then that is above and beyond effort. But keep track of this stat: Joe was the winner of T-Bomb's Picks Week 2 predictions. Oh yeah, this game. How bad is the Broncos offense? The Packers played well for six minutes last week and still won. I hate them. GB 27-13

0-2 Cincinnati Bengals (+6,+220) vs 2-0 Buffalo Bills (-6,-260)

Tommy: The 0-2 Bengals are going to be nicknamed the three and out team soon. They have no control of the clock and have their defense on the field way to much. The Bills have been the opposite. They have been using their run game to control the clock and lock up their victories to start the season. I bet this turns out to be a close one, but yes I say the Bills will be 3-0. BUF 20-14
Lauren: I'm still not sure why the Bengals were favored against the 49ers last week. Sure, they played really well in the hostile Seahawk stadium and were home this last week, but the Niners defense was too tough for them. Buffalo seems to own New York now and their routing of the Giants proved it. Allen and the Bills offense look like another one the Bengals are going to have trouble with. BUF 24-12
Marcus: The Bills have looked good in their first two games and are technically the best team in the state of NY. Now they face the Bengals who looked out matches last week against the Niners. I like the former Wyoming QB Allen and the formidable Buffalo defense to have a big game against the Bengals. BUF 28-10
Joe: Dear Bengals, we are broken up. I believed in you the first two weeks. Week 1 I can forgive. But the Week 2 embarrassment I cannot. As for you, Bills, play someone for God's sake. Jets, Giants and now the Bengals. They haven't even played the Dolphins yet. The Bills are basically 6-0 without even breaking a sweat. Stupid. BUF 24-20

0-2 Miami Dolphins (+21.5,+1400) vs 2-0 Dallas Cowboys (-21.5,-4000)

Tommy: Miami is already throwing in the towel, after trading Fitzpatrick to Pittsburgh they are giving in and look like a 0-16 season is in the works. Dak, Zeke, and Witten on the other hand are looking great and the Cowboys already in talk about being the best in the NFC. The Dolphins have been outscored by 102 points after just two games and I bet that will increase a good amount after their match-up in Dallas with the Cowboys. DAL 42-10  
Lauren: Another amazing performance by Prescott and still no contract. What does this kid have to do? Listen, I hate the Cowboys and it kills me that they are doing so well, but after two games he has 674 yards and seven touchdowns, I think he's earned his money. This game should be no contest since last week the Dolphins didn't even get into field goal range in their own stadium and just traded away their star DB Fitzpatrick. DAL 33-3
Marcus: I'll make this one quick, the Dolphins are going through the motions until next season and tanking for Tua is in full effect. DAL 34-3
Joe: The Dolphins are so bad they are almost impossible to talk about. But think about this before you lay 21.5 on the Cowboys. They scored fewer than 22 points in eight games last season. Half the damn season! Giants, Redskins and now Dolphins. These ridiculous schedules. The Dolphins and Jets are both going to finish 1-15, with wins over each other. DAL 31-14

1-1 Atlanta Falcons (+1.5,+105) vs 1-1 Indianapolis Colts (-1.5,-125)

Tommy: This is a tough one, the Falcons are two completely different teams on the road compared to being at home. Week 1 in Minnesota they couldn't do anything on offense, then Week 2 at home they did great finding Jones and Ridley for big passing plays. The AFC South is wide open now with Brees down and Carolina playing bad, so the Falcons will need to step up the run game and take advantage of this opportunity. ATL 23-21
Lauren: The Falcons won a dog fight against the Eagles on Sunday night and I'm fairly surprised comparing this win to their week one performance. I don't know how much Jones will be used now since it seems Matt Ryan found a toy in Calvin Ridley. Indy's game against Tennessee last week was not overly impressive, but they got the win. But, Brissett is going to have to throw for more than 154 yards to beat the Falcons. ATL 27-20
Marcus: Somehow the Colts have been playing pretty good and have had the Falcons number against the spread (ATS) in recent match-ups. Atlanta is 1-5 ATS in their last six games vs the Colts, 0-11 ATS in their last 11 games vs any AFC opponent. IND 24-21
Joe: If you told the Colts that Andrew Luck was going to retire just before the season and they were still going to be 1-1 after starting the season with two tough road games, they'd take that. And they are going to let their fans down at home. They're facing another dome team that hasn't been very good yet. If I were a betting man, I'd bet on points in this one. ATL 30-27

2-0 Baltimore Ravens (+6.5,+240) vs 2-0 Kansas City Chiefs (-6.5,-300)

Tommy: This should be the best game of the week and a high-scoring battle between Lamar Jackson and Patrick Mahomes. Both QBs have looked great so far, as Jackson has 596 passing yards and has shown us his speed as well. Mahomes on the other hand has 821 passing yards, coming off his big win against the Raiders. The Ravens are going to need to slow him down in order to keep up in this one. That may be tough, as they did just allow 349 passing yards against the Cardinals. Mahomes will lead his team to a close win at home. KC 38-31 
Lauren: This is going to be the BEST game of the week! Probably high-scoring too. Both teams have good defenses, but they also both have gun-slinging QBs. Jackson is more of a duel-threat QB since he has the ability to run and make defenders miss. Mahomes has a huge arm and can put the ball wherever he wants. It will be a close game and extremely fun to watch. KC 34-30
Marcus: Although getting the W last week, the Ravens flew back down to earth a bit after demolishing the Dolphins. Baltimore gave up over 300 yards passing to Arizona which doesn't look to good, seeing that KC has picked apart both Oakland and the Jags. KC 38-28 
Joe: Stat that no one is talking about after the first two weeks but probably should be: The top four QBs in the league according to their passer rating are African American (Lamar Jackson, Pat Mahomes, Dak Prescott and Russell Wilson). And they are all 2-0. The total of this game is 54. yet I feel like it could be a rams-Chiefs 2018 type of match-up. I'm not betting against the Chiefs until they give me a reason to. KC 38-30 

1-1 Oakland Raiders (+8,+350) vs 1-1 Minnesota Vikings (-8,-450)

Tommy: Ok I was there to see Mahomes smoke that Raiders secondary, it seemed the Raiders had no way of covering his targets and stopping him in the second quarter. Now is Cousins chance to prove he has got it still after a couple weeks of relying on the run game. I expect Cousins to come out and find guys like Diggs for some big plays, as Cook does his good share yet again. A close one in the first half, then the Vikings will break away and take it in the third and fourth quarter. MIN 27-17
Lauren: I think it's been made clear that the Raiders cannot handle big offenses. So, they may have a pretty good game in Minnesota. The Vikings offense is good, but they're no the Chiefs. Carr may have trouble though against the Viking defense. This actually may turn out to be an entertaining game. MIN 21-17
Marcus: Two stat lines for you. The Raiders are 1-11 straight up int heir last 12 games as road underdogs while the Vikings are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as home favorites. MIN 28-17
Joe: The Raiders weren't that bad in Week 2. They just got Mahomes'ed in the 2nd quarter. Kirk Cousins sucks. Give up a 4th rounder and bring in Eli Manning. I'm on board. Of course Dalvin Cook would be the best back int he league one season after sucking for my fantasy team. The last time I was in Minnesota when the Vikings were playing a home game, Cook tore his ACL and they lost to the Lions. If something bad happens this time and we lose to the Raiders, I'm not going back during football season ever again. MIN 28-17

0-2 New York Jets (+23,+1500) vs 2-0 New England Patriots (-23,-5000)

Tommy: Well this one will be a snooze. The Patriots are already outscoring their opponents by a total of 73 points this year and now they get to take on a beat up Jets team. Third string Luke Falk will be taking the snaps with Darnold and Siemian both out, so this one will be a piece of cake for Brady at home. NE 34-0
Lauren: The Jets are down to QB3 Luke Falk after Siemian went down with a nasty ankle injury Monday night. Falk has a rude awakening for his first ever start since he has to make it in Foxborough. These banged-up Jets should be no threat to Brady and his explosive offense. NE 41-13
Marcus: Not only are the Patriots dominate at home, they also dominate their division. The Patriots are 8-1 straight up and 7-2 ATS int heir last nine match-ups against the AFC East. NE 34-3
Joe: Have I mentioned that I was the big winner in Week 2 at 12-4? I should also get a bonus point for predicting the Patriots to shut out the Dolphins. So, how the hell are the Jets going to score? Don't watch this game this week. I guarantee it will put you to sleep. NE 27-3

1-0-1 Detroit Lions (+7,+240) vs 1-1 Philadelphia Eagles (-7,-300)

Tommy: Matt Stafford is going to have a good time in this one. The Eagles have one of the worst pass defenses in the NFL and we will see Stafford find his targets for big plays just like Matt Ryan found Jones and Ridley last week. The Eagles may be favored, but the Lions are gonna take this one. DET 27-23
Lauren: The Lions' defense did a really good job at quieting a dangerous Chargers offense last week. They managed to eke out a win in a rather defensive game. The Eagles lost a battle to the Falcons and managed to lose nearly their entire offense with it. I'm not sure how successful a depleted Philly offense will fare against a stout Detroit D. DET 21-13
Marcus: The Lions have improved this season and are 7-2 ATS in their last nine match-ups against NFC East opponents. Philly is 1-7-1 ATS in their last nine games as home favorites. I like Philly to win, but Detroit will keep it close. PHI 27-21
Joe: The Lions are coming off a big win at home that they had no business winning. And the Eagles are coming off a disappointing loss. Yet the spread still favors Philly. Which means I think it's going to be blowout city. Plus, if my memory the last few years serves me correctly, the refs never call holding on the Eagles when they play at home. PHI 35-10

0-2 Carolina Panthers (-2.5,-150) vs 0-1-1 Arizona Cardinals (+2.5,+130)

Tommy: Ok I can't believe how bad Cam Newton is doing. He has had so many opportunities with open receivers and seems to throw behind or over them way to often. He finished 25 for 51 at 49% and isn't even being used to gain the clutch one yard on game deciding plays anymore. Plus he really needs to look at what he is wearing before talking to the media. Kyler Murray may be coming off a loss, but is at least coming through with big plays. Murray threw for 349 yards and I am sure is desperate for his first NFL win. It'll be close but I'll take the home team. ARI 23-21
Lauren: The Panthers need help. In several areas. Cam is not the QB he used to be. His receivers cannot hold on to anything. The secondary cannot block anything. McCaffrey is their only bright spot and he cannot win games alone. Kyler Murray is looking better as the weeks pass. He may stand a chance against this Carolina team if his O-Line can protect him. ARI 17-14  
Marcus: With Cam Newton struggling with injuries, the Panthers season isn't looking too bright. The Cardinals have played well so far and I like the former Heisman winner to get his first NFL victory this weekend. ARI 24-20
Joe: I have no idea who's healthy enough to play in this one, who's favored or who Cam Newton's back up is. Both teams have showed moments of good offense but that's it. So I don't have any idea why someone would bet on this game. Hang on a second. I'm going to flip a coin and pick a winner. Heads-Panthers, Tails-Cardinals. DONE! CAR 21-20

0-2 New York Giants (+6.5,+240) vs 1-1 Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-6.5,-300)

Tommy: So looks like Jones is getting the start for New York. Making the big question for this game being, who is going to make more mistakes, Jones or Winston? Winston was turnover machine Week1, but looked good last week. I don't think the Giants defense is going to apply enough pressure to force Winston into turning the ball over enough. I am excited to see Jones play, but have to take the Bucs. TB 23-21
Lauren: I really did think the Giants were going to do better against Buffalo. With only one tackle-for-loss though, their defense needs to step up. Tampa won their game against a crappy Carolina team. Winston was able to decimate the secondary with Godwin all night. Daniel Jones gets the start for NY this week, but I'm not sure it will be enough to get them a win. TB 21-20
Marcus: After putting up a good fight and then getting a win last week in Carolina, the Bucs look to get a victory over the G-Men. The Giants will be going with their backup rookie QB and that should be interesting. TB 20-14
Joe: Let's revisit my two Giants predictions before the season started. 1) They were going to finish the season 8-8. 2) This season was going to be the Eli Manning Redemption Tour. Oops. Pretty damn bad start. But what if Eli gets traded and is productive for someone else? Could still get there. Similar to the Bengals, I can't take the Giants three weeks in a row. Although part of me believes that Jameis could definitely do some things to make Daniel Jones a star in his first start. Bucs are all of sudden a sneaky pick for division champs. TB 30-25

1-1 Houston Texans (+3,+160) vs. 1-1 Los Angeles Chargers (-3,-180)

Tommy: This will be a good one. Both teams have offenses and defenses that can make a difference. The Chargers are going to need to make some passing plays this week and stop relying so much on Ekeler. While I believe Watson will be having an easier time after dealing with Ramsey and the Jaguars last week. I give this one to the road team, in a close fought battle. HOU 16-13
Lauren: Watson could not get a ball to his receivers last week with that Jacksonville secondary. Rivers threw for almost 300 yards, but could not get into the endzone. This week, Austin Ekeler has to deal with JJ Watt and Carlos Hyde has to deal with Joey Bosa. I imagine this one will be low scoring. LAC 17-13
Marcus: The Chargers have played two pretty close games and are looking to bounce back after a Week 2 loss to the Lions. The Texans played a tough game last week and have a really strong defense. The lack of running game has hurt the Chargers in the red zone and I like the Texans defense to make a couple big plays. HOU 20-17
Joe: Two of the least clutch QBs in the league. Did anyone watch Rivers shit the bed over and over last week at Detroit? He had like 39 chances to win the game and blew them all. And Watson is the same. 13 points against the Jaguars at home. I already mentioned that blowing games was going to be a theme for the Texans this season. And they were about an inch away from being 0-2. Whoever has the lead in the 4th quarter should just bench their QB and put in the back up to hand off on every down. LAC 24-23

0-2 Pittsburgh Steelers (+6.5,+240) vs 2-0 San Francisco 49ers (-6.5,-280)

Tommy: I am excited to see what Mason Rudolph can do. He didn't look bad in the time he got after Roethlisbeger came out with his arm injury. The Niners have been looking really good, especially defensively. Turnovers will be the difference here, as the Steelers took on Brady and Wilson and now face Garoppolo with their new weapon Fitzpatrick in the secondary, while Rudolph gets his first career start. Whoever protects the ball better wins. SF 24-17
Lauren: Big Ben is done for the year. Mason Rudolph gets his start against a really good 49ers defense. Jimmy Garoppolo and that offense isn't that bad either, and the Steeler's defense does not look ready to stop them. Rudolph looked good in the portion of the game he got to play on Sunday. The Niners need to make sure Vance McDonald is covered since Rudolph show some favoritism his way. SF 28-20
Marcus: With the Niners playing well and Big Ben now out for the season, I like Santa Clara to win easily against Pittsburgh. SF 31-14
Joe: Four Super Bowl quarterbacks that started the season are out. This is your classic "everyone has stopped believing in us" vs. "everyone now believes in us" match-up. The 49ers are going to no show in their first home game and everyone will be shocked. Just watch. PIT 27-17

1-1 New Orleans Saints (+4.5,+180) vs 2-0 Seattle Seahawks (-4.5,-220)

Tommy: The Seahawks go from the Big Ben-less Steelers to the Brees-less Saints. Nothing against Bridgewater, but I believe he is still a bit to rusty to keep up with Wilson and the Seahawks in Seattle. Those Saints have been giving up a lot of points and it will end up being another problem for them in Week 3. SEA 28-23
Lauren: Another elite QB down. Brees out for six weeks with a thumb injury. Teddy Bridgewater will get the start (even though they've described Taysom Hill as the next Steve Young). Good luck to Teddy in the loud Seattle stadium against a Seahawks team that just keeps finding ways to win, Not to mention it seems the Saints have to play against the NFL officials as well. SEA 23-19
Marcus: Drew Brees is sidelined for six weeks and with Seattle playing good ball, I'll take the Seahawks in this game. SEA 27-14
Joe: Hey Saints fans. Have you ever heard of the term self fulfilling prophecy? You've been whining about the blown call since January. And guess what? It happened again. Except this time they blew the whistle when they shouldn't have. And it's your fault. And then your season basically ended when Brees went down. All because of your incessant negativity. Shame on you. The Seahawks are the weirdest 2-0 in the league. Close wins over really bad teams. Only four point favorites? Remember when Bridgewater was on the Vikings and outplayed Russell Wilson in that playoff game and then his kicker missed an 18 yard FG to win it? I remember. Revenge game. NO 24-21

2-0 Los Angeles Rams (-3,-160) vs 1-1 Cleveland Browns (+3,+140)

Tommy: Baker and the Browns looked good taking on the beat up Jets, but now on short rest they take on the Rams who are gonna break through and put some real pressure on Mayfield. It will be a battle between Donald and Garrett, as they will look to get the sacks and get their team the ball back. The reason I am siding with Donald and the Rams, is because Garrett takes way to many penalties, there was a couple 15 yard penalties for roughing the passer Monday night. That will cost them the game, giving those yards and first downs to Goff and Gurley. LAR 31-21
Lauren: Baker Mayfield won his MNF debut and now has to come play against the Rams on short rest. mAyfield showed off his arm and Odell got to show off his hands on Monday, but that was against a mediocre Jets' secondary. Todd Gurley, though, may have a tough night against Myles Garrett. Could be a good game. LAR 30-24
Marcus: Aaron Donald was a beast last week and I expect another big game from him and the Rams defensive line. The Browns offensive line is having trouble blocking for Mayfield. LAR 24-20
Joe: The 2-0 Rams could be the 0-2 Rams. A really uninspiring performance against the Panthers in Week 1. And then a very fortunate whistle and Drew Brees injury in Week 2. They are making Goff do too much. That's not going to work out. Yes, the Browns won last week, but did you watch Baker play? He's awful. Tons of tipped and blocked passes. He is also super slow. And that was against the Jets. Aaron Donald might murder him. Two flawed teams. I'm predicting a bounce back at home fluky type of win. CLE 25-24

1-1 Chicago Bears (-4,-200) vs 0-2 Washington Redskins (+4,+170)

Tommy: The Bears' offense has been rather irrelevant through the first two weeks. A total of 19 points through two games isn't going to get you many W's. But this week they get to take on a defense that has been struggling, as Mack and the Bears' defense get to pressure Keenum. The Redskins may think a little more about Haskins after this match-up. CHI 20-10  
Lauren: Eddie Pinero is getting tired from carrying the Bears on his back from week to week. He scored the only points against GB in Week 1, and he won the game for the Bears against the Broncos in Week 2. Trubisky and the offense will have to be better against the Redskins' defense.But the Bears' defense should have no trouble against the Washington offense. Case Keenum better keep an eye out for Mack. CHI 14-10
Marcus: With a defense that keeps getting picked apart, the Redskins may have a long season ahead of them. maybe this week could turn around Trubisky's confidence and the Bears season. CHI 21-17
Joe: Is this really the Monday Night game? Is there any negotiating? Who the hell wants to see Trubisky matching up against Keenum? Did you see that the Bears won last week on a field goal that they had no business being in position for thanks to more great officiating? That means that I don't want to hear anymore talentless journalists talking about the Bears and their kicking woes from last season. And their coach can shut up about it too. The Redskins lost to the Eagles and Cowboys. Maybe they are only just sort of bad. Easy under. Bears are not four points better than anyone not named the Jets or Dolphins right now. WSH 14-13
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