4-2 Kansas City Chiefs (-3.5,-190) vs. 2-4 Denver Broncos (+3.5,+170) THU, Oct. 17th @ 8:20 PM ET
We get the week started with an AFC West battle between the loss streak Chiefs and two win streak Broncos. This should actually be a really good game. If this going into Week 5, I would have called this a blow out. But that Denver defense has come to life and is bringing the punishment right now. While the Chiefs are beat up, Mahomes was showing a good amount of limping in their loss to Houston. This game will be decided by the health of the Chiefs and if they can play up to the potential we normally expect from them. With the return of Tyreek Hill, I have to take the Chiefs though. I mean did you see how high he jumped for that TD? Mahomes will meet a lot of pressure, but it is to early in the week to say they will lose a third straight. I need to hear about how bad these injuries really are before I give it to Denver. I would bet that -190 money line on this one.
Prediction: Chiefs 23-20
3-3 Los Angeles Rams (-3,-175) vs. 1-5 Atlanta Falcons (+3,+155) SUN, Oct. 20th @ 1:00 PM ET
Well after the tough home game, that had many more visiting fans in it, the Rams have been busy. First Peterson was dealt away to the Ravens, with Talib out I was thinking what are they doing? But then it all made sense with their deal with the Jaguars to pick up Jalen Ramsey for a couple first rounders and a forth round pick. Though it's been since they got smoked by the Bucs, I think the Rams are ready to bounce back. They go from taking on one of the best defenses in SF to one of the worst in Atlanta. Goff is going to think it is to easy to find his targets and complete his passes. Gurley or no Gurley, the Rams take this one. Now that 1-5 record isn't Matt Ryan's fault. He is ranked only behind Mahomes in passing yards and leads the league is passing touchdowns. The Falcons have seen to many of their defensive players hit the IR and suffer season ending injuries. I expect they deal away a player or two for picks and look to bounce back next year. Rams -3 looks like a good bet to me.
Prediction: Rams 31-21
0-5 Miami Dolphins (+17,+750) vs. 4-1 Buffalo Bills (-17,-1250) SUN, Oct. 20th @ 1:00 PM ET
I think it was genius for the Dolphins to go for two in what appeared to an attempt to win it, when I bet it was really to make sure that first pick in the draft remained in their reach. Ok maybe that really wasn't their intention, but I think they need that pick more than anyone. The Bills are coming off the bye, but they have not been a very big scoring team on the year. So that 17 point spread does seem like a bit much. I don't expect Miami's offense to be able to do to much, I hope Fitzpatrick gets to start after his late performance against Washington but we will see.
Prediction: Bills 20-7
2-4 Jacksonville Jaguars (-3,-165) vs. 0-6 Cincinnati Bengals (+3,+145) SUN, Oct. 20th @ 1:00 PM ET
It may seem the Minshew Magic has all run out after back-to-back loses. But I think they will make up for it this week. The drama of Ramsey not playing is no longer something they need to worry about, while Fournette is going to have a great game. He is in third place when it comes to rush yards on the season and is about to face one of the worst rush defenses. Minshew won't need much magic, but will want a good game from his defense, as Andy Dalton is among the top ten in pass yards in front of names such as Rodgers, Wentz, and Mayfield. I expect the Jaguars to control the clock with the run game and have this one wrapped up in victory formation in the end.
Prediction: Jaguars 27-23
4-2 Minnesota Vikings (-1,-120) vs. 2-2-1 Detroit Lions (+1,+100) SUN, Oct. 20th @ 1:00 PM ET
Cousins sure proved some people wrong in the destruction of the Eagles defense. Now we will see if the same Cousins returns against his NFC North division foe in Detroit. Well if he does or doesn't, that Vikings defense is really strong. Allowing only 15.5 points per game may be to much for Stafford and the Lions. Stafford looked great at first against the Packers, but they had a continuing issue, they couldn't make it to the endzone. The Packers defense came through big in the second half shutting the Lions down, sacking Stafford and keeping them to field goals. The Vikings should be able to do the same and limit the Lions to a total around the season average of allowed points. The Vikings are hungry for a division win after falling to both the Bears and Packers and won't let this one slip away. Taking the -1 spread is a pretty easy decision this week.
Prediction: Vikings 23-14
3-2 Oakland Raiders (+6,+250) vs. 5-1 Green Bay Packers (-6,-300) SUN, Oct. 20th @ 1:00 PM ET
The Packers get to take on another team coming off the bye. Many were upset with their win last week, so I wouldn't be surprised if the refs are a bit hard on them coming off that MNF win. Rodgers may be missing two of his main targets, as it is unclear if Adams will return with his toe injury and I bet Allison is out after the hit he took late against Detroit. Jimmy Graham has been very unreliable, but Rodgers may have found a new guy to throw to in Allen Lazard. He had a huge TD catch to get the Packers back in the fight after his late entrance to the game. The Raiders though shocked a lot of us in their last game, killing the Bears in London. The Raiders could shock us again coming in rested. That -6 spread is at least way to big. Josh Jacobs has been big for Oakland, 123 yards against the Bears defense was the game changer. Can he do that to the Packers defense this time, who are very good against the run. If the Packers can shut him down and Rodgers exposes that Raiders poor secondary then the Packers should take it late, most likely thanks to Crosby again.
Prediction: Packers 30-27
4-2 Houston Texans (+1,+100) vs. 3-2 Indianapolis Colts (-1,-120) SUN, Oct. 20th @ 1:00 PM ET
Both of these teams are coming off wins against Kansas City. Rather impressive if you ask me to be able to out scored Mahomes, though he appears to be dinged up a bit. But the difference in this one will be which team can pressure the QB more. The Texans have Watt and their great defense, but we have seen them be unproductive leading to tough results. While Indy has Justin Houston who had a blast against his former team in their last game. I like the Colts offensive line a lot more that what Watson has protecting him. This will be a close game, that -1 point spread explains it. Those couple extra seconds Brisett has compared to Watson will be what keeps the ball in Indy's possession and bring them the win.
Prediction: Colts 24-22
2-3-1 Arizona Cardinals (+3,+130) vs. 2-4 New York Giants (-3,-150) SUN, Oct. 20th @ 1:00 PM ET
Word is Barkley could return this week, if that is the case I have to side with the Giants. The Cardinals are on a winning streak, but their defense is one of the worst. Daniel Jones hasn't seen a defense like theirs since taking on the Redskins, so he is going to enjoy this game. Murray has gotten better and will be taking on another defense like Atlanta's that gives up a lot of yards. I expect a back and forth scoring battle, with Barkley being a big piece to the finishing drive to lead to the Giants win. It will be close so I would take that -150 money line to be safe.
Prediction: Giants 33-31
5-0 San Francisco 49ers (-10,-500) vs. 1-5 Washington Redskins (+10,+400) SUN, Oct. 20th @ 1:00 PM ET
The Redskins got their first win!! And probably gave away their chance for the first overall pick. While the Niners remain undefeated after embarrassing their division rival Rams. There appears to be nothing that can top that Niners defense. I know Gurley didn't play, but where was Kupp and any of that big Rams offense? McVay got a good look at what he has to catch up to now, as Keenum and Peterson are not going to be the first offense to beat the 49ers defense. The -10 spread is one of the big ones this week, but I think the Niners should cover it after they beat the Rams by 13 in LA.
Prediction: 49ers 23-6
2-4 Los Angeles Chargers (+2,+110) vs. 2-4 Tennessee Titans (-2,-130) SUN, Oct. 20th @ 4:05 PM ET
Here are two teams that came into the season looking to make a difference. The Chargers went 12-4 last year, looking to catch Mahomes and the Chiefs for the division this season. While Luck called it quits, making the Titans feel the AFC South could be theres with Mariota, Henry, and their great defense. Well both of those dreams went down the drain quick. I can't stand Mike Vrabel, the guy always wants to go for it and it tends to be a bad decision. Late in the game I understand, but in the second quarter only down by 7? I mean come on man. He was interviewed and asked why Mariota has gotten worse under him after his decision to bench him and let Tannehill start this coming week. Vrabel only could come up with, "I guess I am not a good coach." Well at least he knows what is coming. The Chargers will have to look to Rivers this week, as the run game will have issues against that Titans D-line. But Vrabel will have enough bad calls to keep the Chargers in it and give them the opportunity they need to win.
Prediction: Chargers 17-14
5-1 New Orleans Saints (+3,+165) vs. 3-2 Chicago Bears (-3,-185) SUN, Oct. 20th @ 4:25 PM ET
Ok I understand the Bears are at home and coming off the bye, but that spread still makes no sense to me. That Bears offense has been just straight up sad this year, sure they killed the Redskins but thats a team everyone should have a great offensive performance against. Otherwise they have been letting their great defense down, as we saw in London against the Raiders. The big weakness though, is that fourth quarter where the Bears have a total of 6 points on the year. No team is having a worse fourth quarter than Chicago and that is when you will need to be scoring against the Saints. I expect Khalil Mack and Cam Jordan to be competing on who can get the most sacks, but in the end that much better Saints offense will come through with the clutch drives to get the win. Take that +165 money line to get a nice payout.
Prediction: Saints 20-16
4-2 Baltimore Ravens (+3.5,+165) vs. 5-1 Seattle Seahawks (-3.5,-185) SUN, Oct. 20th @ 4:25 PM ET
We have two very similar teams here. Offenses that like to run, with mobile QBs, and defenses that are not what they used to be. Now the Ravens did just acquire Peterson from the Rams to try and help their secondary. They are not going to be able to afford Wilson finding Metcalf or Lockett for those big 50 yard passes if they want to keep up. Russell Wilson has been great with the ball this year, only his players have caught his passes still, meaning the Ravens are not going to be able to turn over the ball. Plus the Seahawks just never seem to be out of it. I have seen them down a few times this season and they somehow always comeback and make a game of it. So though this should be a good game, I have made it sound like the Seahawks will take this one at home. So before I change my mind due to injuries or something, I'd take that -185 money line and maybe parlay that with something if you want a better payout.
Prediction: Seahawks 27-24
3-3 Philadelphia Eagles (+3,+135) vs. 3-3 Dallas Cowboys (-3,-155) SUN, Oct. 20th @ 8:20 PM ET
So back to the big game of the week. I just feel like the Cowboys have not been trying to hard over their last three games, especially in the first half. 9 total points in the first half over those three loses. I mean down 21-3 against the Jets last week at the half, what is wrong with these guys? I honestly think it is Jason Garrett. He seems to be making some rather bad decisions that keep costing his team, not that I think Doug Pederson is a genius with his fake field goal attempt. But Garrett just is not leading his team the way Jerry Jones and those Cowboys fans need him to. I saw Cowboys fans asking Jones to fire him at half time while playing the Jets on social media, which is a clear sign they are upset. These teams should give us a good show, as Dak is still one of the league passing leaders who should have a good game against the Eagles secondary. But after seeing so many views of the Cowboys bench with Zeke, Witten, and Dak just sitting there with annoyed and plain faces, it appears this team has no motivation under Garrett and I can't side with that. I would take that +3 with Philly in this close one.
Prediction: Eagles 24-23
6-0 New England Patriots (-9.5,-475) vs. 1-4 New York Jets (+9.5,+375) MON, Oct. 21st @ 8:15 PM ET
Sam Darnold came out looking good in his return from mono. 338 yards and a couple TDs to get the win over the heavily favored Cowboys. Their defense looked good, shutting Dallas down well and holding them off long enough to wrap up the two point win. Well all of that means nothing. Darnold gets to take on the amazing Patriots defense this week and I bet he will go from 1 INT to 3 or 4. The Patriots are dealing with some injury issues on the offense, as Brady's target options may be getting limited. But Brady probably wont need to do too much and the Pats defense will win this one for them. Daniel Jones was looking good for the Giants with his 2-1 record, but the Patriots held him to 161 yards with 3 picks. This will be another AFC East divisional slaughter for the Patriots, as they increase to 7-0 and get closer to locking that first bye seat in the playoffs.
Prediction: Patriots 34-17
Bye teams: Carolina Panthers, Cleveland Browns, Pittsburgh Steelers, & Tampa Bay Buccaneers
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